Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 9 USA
Ben Shelton
9/4/26 11:00
ATP 48 Canada
Denis Shapovalov

Prediction:

 

Ben Shelton -1.5 Set Handicap

-175
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks

Having reached the semi-final stage of the US Open back in 2023, Ben Shelton will be looking to lay down a serious challenge at Flushing Meadows this time around, and his early-round efforts tell us that he could well be on his way to doing just that. Standing between the American and a fourth-round spot in Denis Shapovalov, who has not been beyond the third round of this particular Grand Slam since 2020. 

At odds of -175, it's worth betting on Ben Shelton, who has stepped on the gas since returning to North American shores, to win this match by two or more sets. Denis Shapovalov is no poor player, but he hasn't done enough in recent weeks to suggest that he can avoid a fairly convincing defeat against the current world number nine. 

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Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Form

Ben Shelton and Denis Shapovalov Latest Matches

Ben Shelton Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Ben Shelton
3 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Ben Shelton
3 :  1
Tallon Griekspoor

Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Ben Shelton
0 :  2
Jaime Faria

Aug 13, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Ben Shelton
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

Aug 12, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

Aug 11, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Jakub Mensik
0 :  2
Ben Shelton
Denis Shapovalov Latest matches
L D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Denis Shapovalov
3 :  0
Luca Van Assche

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  3
Denis Shapovalov

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Zachary Svajda
1 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

Aug 1, 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Arthur Gea
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Ben Shelton against Denis Shapovalov : Head to Head (H2H)

Ben Shelton

100 %

Denis Shapovalov

0 %

Feb 14, 2026 - Dallas Open

Denis Shapovalov
1 :  2
Ben Shelton

Oct 4, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

Aug 2, 2024 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  0
Ben Shelton

Jul 5, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  3
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Picks

Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov Key Points

  1. During the second round, Ben Shelton won by a two-set margin.
  2. Ben Shelton has now won by a two-set margin in each of his two matches at the 2026 US Open.
  3. Ben Shelton has won eight of his last nine hard-court matches by a two-set margin.
  4. Ben Shelton has won six out of seven hard-court matches at Grand Slams by two or more sets in 2026.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Denis Shapovalov can definitely compete against top players, make no mistake about that, but by dropping sets against two lesser players at this tournament, the Canadian doesn't exactly look in strong enough form to seriously trouble Ben Shelton, whose recent hard-court form is hard to ignore. Shelton has really enjoyed himself on this North American hard-court swing, winning most of his matches by at least two sets.

As we can see from the above, Shelton also has a fine recent hard-court record in Grand Slams, winning six out of seven such matches by two or more sets in 2026. 

SportyTrader's Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Pick: Ben Shelton -1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Ben Shelton -1.5 Set Handicap

-175
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.