Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Casper Ruud of Norway will take on a rejuvenated Ben Shelton of the United States in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open.
Recommended Pick: Over 40.5 Games
Potential Payout: -115
Current Form:
Ruud advanced to the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open with a four-set win over former Grand Slam champion Marin Cilic 6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 7-5. Ruud bombarded Cilic with 25 aces and collected 68 points behind the first balls to win 18 of 20 service games. Ruud’s service game has been devastating for his first three opponents in this year’s tournament, winning him 78.6 percent of his first balls while saving 84.6 percent of breakpoints.
Another big server, Shelton has cruised through to the fourth round after sweeping his first three assignments in Melbourne. Shelton dispatched Ugo Humbert 6-3, 7-6, 7-6, Dane Sweeny 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 and Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-4, 7-6. Shelton is averaging 13.4 aces per match and winning 75.8 percent of his first serves at the Australian Open.
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Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud Form
Ben Shelton and Casper Ruud Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 23, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 15, 2026 - ASB Classic
Jan 13, 2026 - ASB Classic
Nov 14, 2025 - ATP Finals
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 24, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 14, 2026 - ASB Classic
Jan 4, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 3, 2026 - United Cup
Ben Shelton against Casper Ruud : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Feb 29, 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open
Apr 18, 2023 - ATP Barcelona
Ben Shelton - Casper Ruud Key Points
- Ben Shelton has yet to drop a set at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Ben Shelton is averaging 13.4 aces per match at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Casper Ruud has saved 84 percent of breakpoint chances.
- Casper Ruud is 2-1 vs. Ben Shelton.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Ben Shelton takes down Casper Ruud 6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 7-6
Reason: Ben Shelton might have breezed through the first three rounds, but he’s not getting past his next opponent so easily in the fourth round. Casper Ruud is 2-1 head-to-head against Shelton, having beaten the American 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the 2024 Acapulco Open. Obviously, Shelton has evolved into a bona fide top-10 contender after adding layers to his game this past year. However, I also cannot turn a blind eye to how terrific Ruud has been in this year’s Australian Open. When playing his best, Ruud is a top-5 level player who can mix it up with the cream of the crop. Ruud carries 20 top-10 wins in 51 matches in his career, which speaks volumes about his caliber. With the spread set at only 2.5 games, the most logical option left is to pick the Over 40.5 games in anticipation of a four-set or even five-set result.
Our betting prediction for Casper Ruud vs. Ben Shelton: Over 40.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
