Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

Prediction published on 9/7/26, 11:25 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 9/7/26 at 11:51 AM in ATP US Open Picks

After booting out Tommy Paul in the fourth round, Carlos Alcaraz looks to dispatch another American bet in the quarterfinal round of the 2026 US Open.

Alcaraz, who has lost only one set in three matches against Ben Shelton, is an appealing pick at -110 to cover -5.5 games.

Current Form:

Carlos Alcaraz has stormed into the quarterfinals of the 2026 US Open with a surgical performance over Tommy Paul, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4. Alcaraz won 75 percent of his first serves and dropped only one service game against an in-form Paul. Alcaraz also collected 39 return points and converted 4 break points to seal his place in the quarterfinals of his first Grand Slam since returning from a wrist injury. The former world No.1 has only surrendered one set so far in this tournament.

Ben Shelton also made quick work of his fourth-round opponent, sweeping Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-2, 6-3, 6-4. The Montreal Masters champion also defeated his first three opponents in four sets, taking down Tallon Griekspoor 1-6, 6-1, 7-6, 6-2, Hubert Hurkacz 6-3, 5-7, 7-5, 7-5, and Denis Shapovalov 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4.

The Matchup: Alcaraz owns a 3-0 record against Shelton in their head-to-head series. The Spaniard also took down Shelton in the round of 16 of last year’s French Open, 7-6, 6-3, 4-6, 6-4.