Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction & Picks - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks
Atlético Madrid and Real Mallorca face off in a La Liga matchup on Sunday that clearly reflects two teams moving in different directions as the season progresses. Atlético Madrid enters this fixture sitting comfortably in third place, firmly entrenched in the title race and once again looking dominant on home soil. Real Mallorca, meanwhile, finds itself down in 14th position, still searching for consistency and particularly struggling when playing away games.
Atlético arrives in solid form, having avoided defeat in four of their last five league matches. Their most recent outing was a narrow but controlled 1-0 victory over Alaves, a result that highlighted the team's growing defensive stability and patience in attack. Diego Simeone's side remains largely healthy, an important factor at this stage of the campaign, and that continuity has been reflected in their performances.
At home, Atlético averages 1.33 goals scored per game while conceding just 1.0, with clean sheets recorded in roughly one-third of their league matches. Even more telling is their home expected goals figure of 2.06, which underlines their ability to create high-quality chances even when matches remain tight on the scoreboard.
Mallorca's recent away form paints a far less encouraging picture. The visitors have lost seven of their ten league matches on the road, often struggling to dictate tempo or apply sustained pressure without the backing of their home crowd. That said, Mallorca is not a side that collapses easily. They tend to remain competitive deep into matches and often force opponents to work hard for every goal, even in defeat.
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Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
18
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 |
Atletico Madrid and Mallorca Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 8, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 11, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 11, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 5, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Mallorca : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 21, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 10, 2024 - LaLiga
May 4, 2024 - LaLiga
Nov 25, 2023 - LaLiga
Apr 26, 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Mallorca Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
S. Esquivel Gamez
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
M. Ruggeri
R. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
MidfielderJ. Diaz
Koke
N. Gonzalez
T. Almada
S. Esteban Sanchez
L. Bergstrom
I. Cuellar
DefenderA. Raillo
M. Morey
J. Olaizola
MidfielderJ. Virgili
P. Torre
I. Salhi
ForwardJ. Kalumba
J. Llabres
Abdon
T. Asano
Missing players
A. Griezmann
M. Kumbulla
Lato Toni
MidfielderM. Morlanes
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
V. Muriqi
(23 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
S. Darder
(5 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Mallorca Key Points
- The Over is 2-3 in Atlético's last 5 games
- The Over is 4-1 in Mallorca's last 5 games
- Atlético are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
- Mallorca are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction
Atletico's squad depth is close to full strength, with only Nico Gonzalez and Clement Lenglet unavailable. Mallorca, on the other hand, has no new injury concerns, which at least allows them to field their preferred lineup. Even so, the contrast in home and away form is difficult to ignore.
From a head-to-head perspective, the numbers slightly favor Atletico, who hold a 48% win rate compared to Mallorca's 29%. Interestingly, only 43% of previous meetings have seen both teams find the net, and recent clashes have generally been low-scoring affairs. In fact, under 2.5 goals have landed in each of Atletico's last three matches against Mallorca, reinforcing the idea of controlled, tactical encounters between these sides.
While Mallorca's resilience should keep the match competitive for long stretches, Atletico's dominance at home, combined with their historical edge and current momentum, makes them clear favorites. Barring an unusually wasteful performance in front of goal, AtléticoMadrid looks well positioned to extend its remarkable home run and secure another vital three points. Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs. Mallorca: Under 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
