Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5/17/26 13:00
Girona

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-115
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 by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

Atletico Madrid and Girona meet on Sunday at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano for a high-stakes Matchday 37 clash that will likely determine the final Champions League seedings for the upcoming season. As the 2025–2026 campaign nears its conclusion, Diego Simeone has once again turned the Metropolitano into a genuine house of pain for visiting sides, with his squad currently enjoying a sequence of three consecutive home clean sheets. The Colchoneros have been remarkably consistent since the spring thaw, balancing a rigorous European schedule with a domestic run that has seen them pick up 13 points from their last 15 available. This late-season surge is built on a foundation of tactical rigidity and a quick-strike transition game that has left even the most organized defenses scrambling.

Conversely, Girona's form has been more of a rollercoaster as they fight to maintain their top-four status. While their home record remains formidable, Michel's side has found life difficult on the road lately, often dominating possession but struggling to convert that control into tangible results. Their recent away fixtures have been defined by narrow margins and a slight dip in defensive coordination during the closing stages of matches, a trend they must reverse if they hope to upset the Madrid giants in their own backyard.

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Atletico Madrid vs Girona Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Atletico Madrid
69 38 21 6 11 +18
19 Girona
41 38 9 14 15 -16

Atletico Madrid and Girona Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
W D W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

May 5, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
L L D W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 18, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

May 5, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Girona Latest matches
D L L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

May 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Girona

May 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  1
Mallorca

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Girona

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
2 :  3
Betis

Apr 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Girona
L W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

May 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  1
Mallorca

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
2 :  3
Betis

Apr 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Villarreal

Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  2
Celta Vigo
D D L D L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Girona

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Girona

Apr 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Girona

Mar 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Girona

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  1
Girona

Feb 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Girona

Atletico Madrid against Girona : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

83 %

Draw

0 %

Girona

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

May 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  4
Atletico Madrid

Aug 25, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Girona

Apr 13, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Girona

Jan 3, 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
4 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Mar 13, 2023 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Picks

Atletico Madrid against Girona Lineups: Starting 11

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
18
M. Pubill
24
R. Le Normand
17
D. Hancko
3
M. Ruggeri
20
G. Simeone
6
Koke
21
O. Vargas
10
A. Baena
7
A. Griezmann
22
A. Lookman
3
J. Roca
15
V. Tsygankov
21
Bryan Gil
18
A. Ounahi
20
A. Witsel
23
I. Martin
24
A. Moreno
12
V. Reis
16
A. Frances
4
M. Arnau
13
P. Gazzaniga

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Girona

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Esquivel

J. Musso

Defender

J. Bonar

R. Belaid

A. Puric

C. Lenglet

A. Lookman 64'

Midfielder

J. Morcillo

O. Vargas 61'

J. Diaz

Forward

T. Almada

G. Simeone 46'

I. Luque Sierra

M. Cubo

A. Sorloth

A. Baena 61'

Girona
Girona
Goalkeeper

V. Krapyvtsov

R. Blanco

Defender

H. Rincon

D. Lopez

M. Arnau 77'

D. Blind

Midfielder

F. Beltran

A. Witsel 56'

C. Echeverri

J. Roca 64'

R. Artero Ruiz

D. van de Beek

T. Lemar

Forward

C. Stuani

Bryan Gil 56'

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

J. Gimenez

M. Llorente

N. Molina

Midfielder

J. Cardoso

B. Pablo

R. Mendoza

Forward

J. Alvarez

Girona
Girona
Forward

Portu

A. Ruiz

V. Vanat

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Girona
Top Goalscorer
Norway A. Sorloth (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine V. Vanat (9 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina G. Simeone (6 Assists)
Best assists
Ukraine V. Tsygankov (5 Assists)

Atletico Madrid - Girona Key Points

  1. The Over is 4-1 in Atletico Madrid's last 5 home games
  2. The Over is 2-3 in Girona's last 5 away games
  3. Atletico Madrid are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
  4. Girona are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 away games
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction

Julián Alvarez has been the talking point of the capital recently, as the Argentine forward has found a clinical edge, netting four goals across his most recent three starts to lead the line with authority. He is flanked by Antoine Griezmann, who continues to operate as the team's heartbeat, contributing a pair of vital assists in the current month while dropping deep to dictate the tempo. Defensively, Atletico is sweating on the fitness of Robin Le Normand, who is dealing with a minor knock, while Pablo Barrios remains a game-time decision due to lingering muscle fatigue.

For the visitors, Vladyslav Vanat has emerged as the primary threat, with the Ukrainian striker scoring twice in his most recent outings and showing a knack for finding space in crowded penalty areas. He is supported by the creative vision of Viktor Tsygankov, who has recovered from a brief fitness scare to reclaim his spot on the right wing. However, the Girona backline will be missing the veteran composure of Daley Blind, who is currently sidelined with a calf strain, forcing a reshuffle in the central defense. When weighing the probabilities, the momentum sits firmly with the hosts. Atletico's ability to stifle creative midfields combined with the red-hot form of Alvarez gives them the upper hand in a match that Girona may find too physically demanding to navigate. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid vs. Girona: Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-115
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.