Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
12/11/25 20:15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction:

 

Buccaneers -4.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. Kickoff on Prime is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST.

A few weeks ago, the Buccaneers were in control of the NFC South and looked like a virtual lock to win the division. However, with several key players missing time with injuries in the last few weeks, it became harder for Baker Mayfield to get the offense on track. Consequently, with last week's loss to the New Orleans Saints, the Bucs have dropped five of their last seven games. But with Chris Godwin healthy and Mike Evans getting activated off the IR, maybe the offense can come alive against a Falcons defense that was, at one point during the season, considered one of the best in the NFL (but not anymore). As for the Falcons, back in Week 6 when they dominated the Bills, they looked poised to explode this season. Fast forward to Week 15, Kirk Cousins has been up and down since taking over for an injured Michael Penix Jr., and the run game has been sporadic. When things work, the offense is impressive and fun to watch, but it is hard to tell from one week to the next whether it will be up to the task.

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.538 13 7 0 6
23
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
0.308 13 4 0 9

Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest Matches

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
37 :  9
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  27
New York Jets

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  10
New Orleans Saints

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
30 :  27
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
25 :  31
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
23 :  24
New England Patriots
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
37 :  9
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
30 :  27
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  10
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 13, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
14 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
27 :  34
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  20
Atlanta Falcons
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  27
New York Jets

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  10
New Orleans Saints

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
25 :  31
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
23 :  24
New England Patriots

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  20
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
0 :  30
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
17 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  44
Buffalo Bills

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
17 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
19 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
31 :  25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  44
Buffalo Bills

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9 :  24
Detroit Lions

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
38 :  35
Seattle Seahawks

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  19
Houston Texans

Atlanta Falcons against Tampa Bay Buccaneers : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Falcons

75 %

Draw

0 %

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

25 %

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  20
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
31 :  26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 3, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  36
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 22, 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
16 :  13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Key Points

  1. The all-time series between these two teams is tied at 32-32.
  2. Tampa Bay won its Week 1 matchup 23-20, but Atlanta has won four of the last six.
  3. Atlanta is 5-7-1 ATS this season; Tampa Bay is 5-8.
  4. Betting Public: 64% of spread tickets are on the Bucs but 66% of the handle is on the Falcons.

Our Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Both teams have been struggling the last few weeks, but both should get a boost with returning playmakers; Tampa Bay should get Mike Evans back, and Atlanta should get Drake London. However, I’ve got much more faith in Baker Mayfield getting his offense on track than Kirk Cousins. Both defenses have weaknesses, but I am not confident the Falcons can get out of their own way to exploit the Bucs D.

Our Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Pick: Buccaneers -4.5

Prediction:

 

Buccaneers -4.5

-105
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Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks