Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction & Picks - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks
Atalanta and Bologna meet at the Gewiss Stadium this Sunday in a fixture that carries significant weight for the final European qualification spots in Serie A. With the 2025/26 campaign drawing to a close, both clubs find themselves separated by a narrow margin in the table, making this encounter a classic six-pointer for continental aspirations. Atalanta currently occupies the seventh position, buoyed by a thrilling 3-2 victory over AC Milan at the San Siro in their most recent outing. That result was a much-needed breath of fresh air for Gian Piero Gasperini’s men, who had previously endured a frustrating spell marked by a scoreless draw against Genoa and a disappointing defeat to Cagliari. While their domestic form has fluctuated, the victory in Milan proved that La Dea still possesses the explosive attacking rhythm and high-pressing intensity capable of dismantling the league's elite when their tactical gears click into place.
Bologna arrives in Bergamo following a mirror-image result of their own, having secured a massive 3-2 away win against Napoli. Under their current leadership, the Rossoblù have been one of the league's most resilient traveling sides, often finding ways to punch above their weight in hostile environments. Their recent trajectory has been a rollercoaster of high-scoring affairs, and while their defensive stability has occasionally wavered, their ability to transition quickly from defense to attack remains a hallmark of their success this season. Occupying the eighth spot, Bologna knows that leapfrogging Atalanta today would put them in a prime position to secure a return to European competition, provided they can maintain the clinical edge they displayed in Naples.
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Atalanta vs Bologna Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
|
8
|
56 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 |
Atalanta and Bologna Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 10, 2026 - Serie A
May 2, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 27, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 22, 2026 - Coppa Italia
Apr 18, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 11, 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 2, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 22, 2026 - Coppa Italia
Apr 11, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 10, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 27, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 18, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 6, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 11, 2026 - Serie A
May 3, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 25, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 19, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League
Apr 12, 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 3, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 25, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 12, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League
Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 11, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 19, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League
Apr 5, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League
Mar 15, 2026 - Serie A
Atalanta against Bologna : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A
Apr 13, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Sep 28, 2024 - Serie A
Mar 3, 2024 - Serie A
Dec 23, 2023 - Serie A
Atalanta against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderR. Bellanova
M. Bakker
S. Kolasinac
R. Obric
MidfielderY. Musah
L. Samardzic
M. Pasalic
K. Sulemana
G. Scamacca
D. Vavassori
F. Ravaglia
M. Pessina
DefenderL. De Silvestri
N. Zortea
C. Lykogiannis
B. Tomasevic
MidfielderN. Moro
S. Sohm
ForwardR. Orsolini
J. Odgaard
T. Dallinga
B. Dominguez
Missing players
O. Kossounou
L. Bernasconi
J. Lucumi
N. Casale
M. Vitik
MidfielderN. Cambiaghi
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Bologna
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(10 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
N. Cambiaghi
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Miranda
(4 Assists)
Atalanta - Bologna Key Points
- The Over is 2-3 in Atalanta's last 5 home games
- The Over is 3-2 in Bologna's last 5 away games
- Atalanta are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games
- Bologna are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 away games
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Our Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction
Nikola Krstović has become the focal point of the Atalanta attack, maintaining an impressive scoring rate and providing a physical presence that creates space for the likes of Giacomo Raspadori. While Charles De Ketelaere has been searching for his clinical touch in front of goal lately, his creative influence in the final third remains vital to Gasperini’s system. However, the hosts face a defensive puzzle; Isak Hien is unavailable due to a disciplinary suspension, and Lorenzo Bernasconi remains sidelined with a knee injury, likely forcing Honest Ahanor into a starting role.
Bologna deals with similar selection headaches, as Jhon Lucumí is also suspended following a recent accumulation of bookings. The visitors will further miss the defensive stability of Martin Vitík and Nicolò Casale, both of whom are recovering from injuries. Despite these absences, Santiago Castro and Riccardo Orsolini have been in scintillating form, consistently threatening opposition backlines with their movement and directness. Given the defensive absences on both sides, the hosts hold the marginal upper hand due to their home advantage and depth in the final third. Market expectations lean toward a high-scoring affair where Atalanta’s home-field familiarity gives them the slight edge to outlast a depleted Bologna defense. Our prediction for Atalanta vs. Bologna: Over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
