Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Prediction & Picks - WTA Australian Open
WTA - WTA Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus will test the mettle of Canadian teen sensation Victoria Mboko in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open.
Recommended Pick: Victoria Mboko +5.5 Games
Potential Payout: $240 for every $140 Bet.
Current Form:
Sabalenka cruised to the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open after hacking out a tough straight-set win over Anastasia Potapova of Austria 7-6, 7-6. For the first time in the tournament, Sabalenka faced someone who made her sweat for the points as Potapova captured four service breaks and forced the world’s No.1 to play tiebreakers in both sets. Yet, Sabalenka proved again why she’s so difficult to beat when her back is against the wall, coming through with clutch points under pressure to foil the Austrian’s upset bid.
Enjoying her best run in a Grand Slam tournament, Mboko reached the fourth round of the Australian Open after outlasting Clara Tauson of Denmark 7-6, 5-7, 6-3. After breezing past her first two opponents in Melbourne, Mboko took on her first real test in Melbourne and overcame it with such poise. Mboko recorded six aces and won 42 points behind the first ball to hold 17 of 12 service games. Both Mboko and Tauson broke each other four times, but Mboko’s two break-point conversions in the final set allowed her to finally shake off the Dane.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 22, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 11, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 9, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 8, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 22, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 16, 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Jan 15, 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Jan 14, 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko Key Points
- Victoria Mboko reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time.
- Victoria Mboko has converted 14 of 33 break-points at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka has saved 17 of 27 break-points at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka has yet to drop a set in 2026.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka drops a set for the first time in 2026 but still advances to the QF 6-4, 5-7, 6-3
Reason: Mboko could present a far more complex problem to Sabalenka than Potapova did to the Belarusian in the third round. Gifted with athleticism and blistering forehands, Mboko has the weapons to match Sabalenka’s offensive firepower. But once again, Sabalenka isn’t going to bend under pressure. Mboko is truly a special talent, but she still needs more seasoning, perhaps growing pains, to take down a battle-tested Sabalenka at this stage of the tournament.
Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Victoria Mboko: Victoria Mboko +5.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
