Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 1
Aryna Sabalenka
9/6/26 11:30
WTA 96 USA
Taylor Townsend

Prediction:

 

Taylor Townsend +4.5 games

-110
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Taylor Townsend is out to take advantage of a +4.5-game cushion in the spread market against Aryna Sabalenka in the third round of the 2026 US Open.

Current Form:

Aryna Sabalenka is off to a smooth start in her campaign to defend her US Open title and world No. 1 ranking. Sabalenka has swept her first three opponents, scoring a dominant win over Camila Osorio 6-2, 6-4, Polina Iatcenko 6-1, 6-1, and Kamilla Rakhimova 6-3, 6-4.

After posting clinical wins over Maja Chwalinska 6-2, 6-3 and Taylah Preston, Taylor Townsend dug deep to upset Diana Shnaider, 6-2, 6-7, 6-3. Townsend collected 39 return points and converted 5 break points against Shnaider in this match.

The Matchup: This is the first time Townsend and Sabalenka will face each other in a Grand Slam or WTA Tour tournament. Of course, Sabalenka is the favorite at -498, but Townsend is steadily generating interest from big-swing bettors, particularly in the spread market, where she’s offering high value.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 4, 2026 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Kamilla Rakhimova

Sep 2, 2026 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Polina Iatcenko

Aug 31, 2026 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Camila Osorio

Aug 19, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Sara Bejlek

Aug 18, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Xinyu Wang

Aug 16, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Talia Gibson
Taylor Townsend Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2026 - WTA US Open

Taylor Townsend
2 :  1
Diana Shnaider

Sep 2, 2026 - WTA US Open

Taylor Townsend
2 :  0
Taylah Preston

Aug 31, 2026 - WTA US Open

Maja Chwalinska
0 :  2
Taylor Townsend

Aug 16, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Taylor Townsend
0 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Aug 13, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Taylor Townsend
2 :  1
Camila Osorio

Aug 7, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Taylor Townsend
1 :  2
Belinda Bencic
Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Picks

Aryna Sabalenka - Taylor Townsend Key Points

  1. Aryna Sabalenka is 30-3 on hard courts in 2026.
  2. Aryna Sabalenka is 5-3 in fourth-round matches in 2026.
  3. Taylor Townsend is 16-7 on hard courts in 2026.
  4. Taylor Townsend is 3-10 vs. top-5 players.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Prediction

Key Stats: Taylor Townsend has won 79.3 percent of her first serves and dropped only three service games so far. She has also created 26 break chances, converting 15 of them.

What to Expect: Sabalenka will still bag the win because of her championship pedigree and vast experience at this stage of a Grand Slam, but Townsend looks ready to give the Belarusian her first real test at the US Open.

Townsend is serving fantastically well in this tournament, and this stuff will definitely help her earn a bunch of games against Sabalenka. The American will cover, thanks to the +4.5-game boost.

Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka wins 6-4, 7-6

Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Taylor Townsend: Taylor Townsend +4.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Taylor Townsend +4.5 games

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.