Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open
WTA - WTA US Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Taylor Townsend is out to take advantage of a +4.5-game cushion in the spread market against Aryna Sabalenka in the third round of the 2026 US Open.
Current Form:
Aryna Sabalenka is off to a smooth start in her campaign to defend her US Open title and world No. 1 ranking. Sabalenka has swept her first three opponents, scoring a dominant win over Camila Osorio 6-2, 6-4, Polina Iatcenko 6-1, 6-1, and Kamilla Rakhimova 6-3, 6-4.
After posting clinical wins over Maja Chwalinska 6-2, 6-3 and Taylah Preston, Taylor Townsend dug deep to upset Diana Shnaider, 6-2, 6-7, 6-3. Townsend collected 39 return points and converted 5 break points against Shnaider in this match.
The Matchup: This is the first time Townsend and Sabalenka will face each other in a Grand Slam or WTA Tour tournament. Of course, Sabalenka is the favorite at -498, but Townsend is steadily generating interest from big-swing bettors, particularly in the spread market, where she’s offering high value.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 4, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 31, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 19, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 18, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 16, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 31, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 16, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 13, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 7, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Taylor Townsend Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka is 30-3 on hard courts in 2026.
- Aryna Sabalenka is 5-3 in fourth-round matches in 2026.
- Taylor Townsend is 16-7 on hard courts in 2026.
- Taylor Townsend is 3-10 vs. top-5 players.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Prediction
Key Stats: Taylor Townsend has won 79.3 percent of her first serves and dropped only three service games so far. She has also created 26 break chances, converting 15 of them.
What to Expect: Sabalenka will still bag the win because of her championship pedigree and vast experience at this stage of a Grand Slam, but Townsend looks ready to give the Belarusian her first real test at the US Open.
Townsend is serving fantastically well in this tournament, and this stuff will definitely help her earn a bunch of games against Sabalenka. The American will cover, thanks to the +4.5-game boost.
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka wins 6-4, 7-6
Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Taylor Townsend: Taylor Townsend +4.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.