Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Prediction & Picks - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
The best in the business will be in action at the WTA event in Madrid on Thursday, when Aryna Sabalenka takes on Peyton Stearns. This is a hugely tough task for the American player, who is very capable, but even for the most capable WTA players, facing the imperious Sabalenka is often a task that is too hot to handle. However, in the eary betting, it may just be worth betting on Stearns to avoid a complete hammering.
After all, when the pair last met on clay, at this tournament a year ago, Stearns, who is currently ranked at 43 in the world, lost by a six game margin, covering the '+6.5 Game Handicap'. She's been playing well of late, while this is Sabalenka's first clay-court match of the season, so even if the world number one proves to be too strong overall, which is highly likely, I'm betting on the US player to lose by no more than six games.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Peyton Stearns Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 28, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 26, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 25, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 23, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 22, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 21, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 2, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Apr 1, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 19, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 5, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka against Peyton Stearns : Head to Head (H2H)
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Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Mar 9, 2024 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka - Peyton Stearns Key Points
- When the pair met at this tournament a year ago, Peyton Stearns lost by a six-game margin.
- In two previous matches against Aryna Sabalenka, Peyton Stearns has never lost by more than a six-game margin.
- This will be Aryna Sabalenka's first clay-court match of the 2026 season.
- Peyton Stearns has played several clay-court matches recently and may be better prepared than her opponent as a result.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Prediction
Sure, Aryna Sabalenka should have far too much in the locker for Peyton Stearns to cause a serious upset here, especialy as the Belrusian loves this tournament, winning three of the last five renewals, but Stearns can get a little more competitive than the early odds suggest. After all, now is the time to play Sabalenka on clay, with the world number one having not played competitively on this surface in nearly a year.
At odds of +120, the American is well worth betting to do what she did when the pair met a year ago, and that's lose by no more than six games.
Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Pick: Peyton Stearns +6.5 Game Handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
