Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA Berlin Open
WTA - WTA Berlin Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula have played three sets in their last three meetings. These two elites will meet again in the semifinals of the 2026 Berlin Ladies Open.
Aryna Sabalenka survived a serious upset bid from Nikola Bartunkova to reach the semifinal of the 2026 Berlin Ladies Open. Down a set and 0-4 in the second frame, Sabalenka banked on her elite service-breaking capabilities and big-match experience to pull off a 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 comeback win over the Czech.
Jessica Pegula also survived a thrilling duel with fellow American Madison Keys 7-6, 7-6. The world’s No.5 played through with ice in her veins as she delivered crucial points after crucial points in the two tiebreakers.
Matchup: Sabalenka and Pegula will meet for the 11th time in their storied rivalry. However, Saturday’s semifinal will mark the first time they will play each other on grass.
Caesars Sportsbooks still lists Sabalenka as the favorite at -220 after that close call against Bartunkova. Pegula carries a more profitable price tag of +165, but her 2-8 record against the world’s No.1makes her a perilous underdog pick in the moneyline.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 19, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 3, 2026 - WTA French Open
Jun 1, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 30, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 28, 2026 - WTA French Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 19, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
May 26, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 13, 2026 - WTA Rome
May 11, 2026 - WTA Rome
May 10, 2026 - WTA Rome
Aryna Sabalenka against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Nov 4, 2025 - WTA Doha
Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Sep 4, 2025 - WTA US Open
Mar 29, 2025 - WTA Miami
Sep 7, 2024 - WTA US Open
Aug 19, 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula have played three sets in their last three meetings.
- Aryna Sabalenka survived a three-set match with Nikola Bartunkova in the quarterfinals of the Berlin Open.
- Jessica Pegula outlasted Madison Keys in two tiebreakers in the quarterfinals of the Berlin Open.
- Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka will play for the first time on grass.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka duke it out in another three-set classic.
Although Sabalenka enjoys a sizable head-to-head advantage over Pegula, her last three wins over the American did not come easily. The Belarusian needed three sets in each of these matches to outlast the pesky Pegula.
Pegula, who has only dropped three service games after two matches in Berlin, has the form and momentum to push Sabalenka to three sets again on grass.
Pegula would also be an intriguing pick at the spread and moneyline because she has a realistic shot at pulling off an upset here against a worn-out Sabalenka.
However, given that Sabalenka has won 80 percent of their matches, it would be wise to take the safer route and go with over 22.5 games.
Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula: Over 22.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
