Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Picks - WTA Miami

Prediction published on 3/26/26, 4:47 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 3/28/26 at 12:03 AM in Tennis Picks

The Over 2.5 Sets (+105) is gaining traction ahead of the 17th showdown between Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka, who have played each other in 10 three-set matches.

Momentum: After fending off Hailey Baptiste 6-2, 6-2, Aryna Sabalenka has now won her last 10 matches since losing to Elena Rybakina in three sets at the 2026 Australian Open final. Elena Rybakina also improved to 21-4 after clawing back from a set down to beat Jessica Pegula 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. It marked Rybakina's fifth consecutive win over a top-tier American and her third this year.

The Matchup: Sabalenka leads the head-to-head series 7-9, but Rybakina has won 3 of their last 5 hard-court duels. Sabalenka has won 67 percent of her first serves, dropping only six service games across four matches. Meanwhile, Rybakina is averaging 7 aces per match and saving 82 percent of breakpoints in Miami. Rybakina is also 3-1 in tiebreakers.

The Betting Board: Rybakina is a +102 underdog, while Sabalenka is only a slight favorite at -124. The hot pick here is the Over 2.5 sets valued at +105. 10 out of 16 head-to-head matches between these two players are three-set matches.