Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction & Picks - WTA Berlin Open

WTA - WTA Berlin Open

WTA 1
Aryna Sabalenka
6/17/26 11:30
WTA 19
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Set Handicap

-149
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

In the German capital of Berlin on Wednesday, the world number one will be in action for the first time on grass in 2026. Aryna Sabalenka takes on Ekaterina Alexandrova, who is currently ranked as the 19th best female player on the planet. We know that someone like Alexandrova can cause a few upsets, but the Russian hasn't made the most fluent start to the grass-court season, while Sabalenka typically starts fast in Berlin. 

Looking at the early lines ahead of this game, the world number one may not quite be getting the respect that she deserves, so much so that she's worth betting on to win a by at least a five-game margin all the time odds of -149 are on offer. After all, when she last played Alexandrova on grass, she brushed the Russian aside. 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 3, 2026 - WTA French Open

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Diana Shnaider

Jun 1, 2026 - WTA French Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Naomi Osaka

May 30, 2026 - WTA French Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Daria Kasatkina

May 28, 2026 - WTA French Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elsa Jacquemot

May 26, 2026 - WTA French Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

May 9, 2026 - WTA Rome

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Sorana Cirstea
Ekaterina Alexandrova Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 8, 2026 - WTA Libema Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Panna Udvardy

May 25, 2026 - WTA French Open

Camila Osorio
2 :  0
Ekaterina Alexandrova

May 19, 2026 - WTA Strasbourg Open

Ann Li
2 :  1
Ekaterina Alexandrova

May 8, 2026 - WTA Rome

Ekaterina Alexandrova
1 :  2
Laura Siegemund

Apr 16, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Linda Noskova

Apr 14, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Gabriela Knutson

Aryna Sabalenka against Ekaterina Alexandrova : Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

67 %

Ekaterina Alexandrova

33 %

Feb 11, 2025 - WTA Doha

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Aug 31, 2024 - WTA US Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

Jul 10, 2023 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova Key Points

  1. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost her first grass-court match of the season to a much lesser player than Aryna Sabalenka.
  2. Aryna Sabalenka beat Ekaterina Alexandrova by an eight-game margin when the pair last met on grass.
  3. Aryna Sabalenka won her first-round match in Berlin in straight sets a year ago.
  4. Aryna Sabalenka also won her first-round match in Berlin in straight sets back in 2024.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction

The early betting market ahead of this clash seems to be suggesting that Ekaterina Alexandrova has a decent chance of avoiding a heavy defeat, but that doesn't look quite right. The Russian has played a couple of grass-court matches recently, but she hasn't looked anywhere near her best, which doesn't bode well ahead of a match against the best in the business.

The world number one may be playing her first grass-court match of the season, but she has a strong record of hitting the ground running in Berlin, while her most recent grass-court effort against Alexandrova tells us she can win this smoothly. 

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Pick: Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Game Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka -4.5 Set Handicap

-149
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Picks