Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction & Picks - WTA French Open
WTA - WTA French Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Having swept Daria Kasatkina in their last four meetings, Aryna Sabalenka has the form and head-to-head dominance in her favor to cover -6.5 games in this latest encounter in the third round of the 2026 French Open.
Momentum: Aryna Sabalenka breezed through to the round of 32 with a couple of dominant wins over Jessica Bouzas Manneiro 6-4, 6-3, and Elsa Jacquemot 7-5, 6-2.
Daria Kasatkina also punched her ticket to the third round after sweeping Zeynep Sonmez 6-4, 6-4 and Susan Bandecchi 7-5, 6-2.
Matchup: Sabalenka boasts a 7-2 head-to-head record against Kasatkina, winning the last four in straight sets.
Sabalenka has also swept Kasatkina in their two clay-court matches, beating the Austrian 7-6, 6-0 in the second round of the 2020 Roland Garros and 6-3, 6-3 in the third round of the 2021 Madrid Open.
Hot on the Board: Unsurprisingly, Sabalenka marches into their 10th showdown with Kasatkina as a -1200 favorite.
Belarusian is also facing a 6.5-game handicap (-110) against Kasatkina, who finally gets a chance to play against a top-ranked player on the WTA Tour for the first time since 2018.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 28, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 26, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 9, 2026 - WTA Rome
May 7, 2026 - WTA Rome
Apr 28, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 28, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 25, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 21, 2026 - WTA Strasbourg Open
May 19, 2026 - WTA Strasbourg Open
May 18, 2026 - WTA Strasbourg Open
May 17, 2026 - WTA Strasbourg Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Daria Kasatkina : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jun 20, 2024 - WTA Berlin Open
Jan 5, 2024 - WTA Brisbane
Sep 4, 2023 - WTA US Open
Aug 17, 2023 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Daria Kasatkina Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka has won her last four matches vs. Daria Kasatkina in straight sets
- Aryna Sabalenka has swept Daria Kasatkina in two clay-court meetings.
- Daria Kasatkina hasn’t gotten an opportunity to play a top-ranked player on the WTA Tour since 2018.
- Daria Kasatkina is averaging 7.5 double faults at the 2026 Roland Garros.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka will again blow by Daria Kasatkina, claiming her fifth consecutive straight-set victory over the Aussie.
A -6.5-game spread seems a lot of ground to cover, but with the way Sabalenka has obliterated Kasatkina in their head-to-head series, it may not end up as hard as it initially looks.
Sabalenka is winning 67 percent of her first serves at Roland Garros while converting 57.9 percent of breakpoint chances.
Sabalenka can easily sustain this two-way dominance against Kasatkina, who hasn’t gotten many opportunities this year to test her mettle against top-tier opponents.
Kasatkina could also put herself in deeper trouble against Sabalenka if she continues to give up free points. The Aussie averaged 7.5 double faults after two matches at Roland Garros.
Our betting prediction for Daria Kasatkina vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Aryna Sabalenka -6.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
