Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Arsenal
1/25/26 11:30
Manchester United

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Sunday’s English Premier League action concludes with a big one. In a bid to extend their lead at the top of the EPL tree, the Gunners take on the Red Devils at Emirates Stadium. Far from a local rivalry, there’s no love lost between these two, and although the bad blood perhaps isn’t as strong as it was back in the Ferguson-vs-Wenger days, this is still a game that’s hugely important to both sets of supporters. 

Interestingly, both teams should be feeling confident ahead of this clash, with the hosts winning yet again in the UCL, while the visitors have had longer to rest and prepare following their excellent win against Man City last weekend. Can the men under Michael Carrick’s reign build on that huge derby-day win and upset the league leaders?

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Arsenal vs Manchester United Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Arsenal
85 38 26 7 5 +44
3 Manchester United
71 38 20 11 7 +19

Arsenal and Manchester United Latest Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

Dec 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Wolves

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal
Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
W D D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Manchester City

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  2
Brighton

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Manchester United

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Wolves

Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Newcastle
D D W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Manchester City

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  2
Brighton

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Wolves

Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

Dec 4, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
West Ham
D W W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Manchester United

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 8, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Manchester United

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester United

Arsenal against Manchester United : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

67 %

Draw

33 %

Manchester United

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Jan 12, 2025 - FA Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 4, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Manchester United

Jul 27, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  1
Manchester United

May 12, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

Arsenal - Manchester United: Form Analysis

From a form angle, the Gunners continue to tick all the boxes. Mikel Arteta’s men are very, very hard to beat, and that’s why they’ve not lost since the first week in December, and that’s also why they’re currently seven points clear at the top. Sure, they were held by Nottingham Forest last weekend, their second draw on the bounce in the league, but they resumed winning ways with an excellent performance away in Milan during the week, defeating Inter by three goals to one. 

Mikel Arteta’s men are very, very hard to beat, and that’s why they’ve not lost since the first week in December

Following the departure of Ruben Amorim, the Red Devils have tied one, lost one and won one in all competitions. Having been dumped out of the FA Cup by Brighton, it didn’t look likely that they’d get the better of Man City in the Manchester Derby, but new boss Michael Carrick was able to mastermind a fabulous counter-offensive performance, one that saw United claim all three points.


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Arsenal vs Manchester United Picks

Arsenal against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
D. Raya
12
J. Timber
2
W. Saliba
6
G. Magalhaes
5
P. Hincapie
8
M. Odegaard
36
M. Zubimendi
41
D. Rice
7
B. Saka
9
G. Jesus
19
L. Trossard
19
B. Mbeumo
13
P. Dorgu
8
B. Fernandes
16
A. Diallo
37
K. Mainoo
18
Casemiro
23
L. Shaw
6
L. Martinez
5
H. Maguire
2
D. Dalot
31
S. Lammens

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester United

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

B. White

P. Hincapie 57'

C. Mosquera

Midfielder

E. Eze

M. Zubimendi 58'

M. Lewis-Skelly

M. Merino

M. Odegaard 58'

Forward

N. Madueke

L. Trossard 75'

G. Martinelli

V. Gyokeres

G. Jesus 58'

Manchester United
Manchester United
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

Defender

A. Heaven

N. Mazraoui

A. Diallo 89'

L. Yoro

T. Malacia

Midfielder

M. Ugarte

M. Mount

Forward

M. Cunha

B. Mbeumo 68'

B. Sesko

P. Dorgu 81'

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

R. Calafiori

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

M. de Ligt

Arsenal & Manchester United Squad Analysis

16-year-old wonderkid Max Dowman, who earlier this season became the youngest ever player to feature in the Premier League, continues to be sidelined for the hosts, who will also be without the services of defender Riccardo Calafiori, who is out with a muscle issue. Suffering from a groin injury, summer-signing Piero Hincapie is also unavailable. Mikel Arteta isn’t expected to change too much after that strong effort in the week. 

Bryan Mbeumo is expected to once again start as the lone striker, supported by Amad Diallo, Patrick Dorgu and Bruno Fernandes

Man United boss Michael Carrick will also be keen to keep things the same after last weekend’s efforts, meaning that Bryan Mbeumo is expected to once again start as the lone striker, supported by Amad Diallo, Patrick Dorgu and Bruno Fernandes. Joshua Zirkzee has been carrying a knock and is not expected to feature, while Matthijs de Ligt is injured. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Manchester United
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (11 Goals) Slovenia B. Sesko (11 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (6 Assists)
Norway M. Odegaard (6 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (21 Assists)

Arsenal - Manchester United Key Points

  1. Four of Man United's last five league games have contained less than three goals.
  2. No goals have been scored in either of Arsenal's last two league games.
  3. The hosts haven't conceded more than once at home in the league all season.
  4. The visitors have conceded more than once in none of their last six EPL games.
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Our Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction

Let's face it, after their midweek efforts, the hosts won't be looking for this game to explode into life, while Mikel Arteta will also be keen for his side to avoid being caught on the break like Man City were last weekend. In other words, we could see a subdued game, at least to start with, as the hosts opt for a more cautious approach. After all, the league leaders are very good at taking the sting out of games, while it's not unlike them to prefer the low-scoring route. 

When the teams met earlier in the season, just one goal was scored, while both teams have been invovled in low-scorers against the big teams of late, so much so that 'Under 2.5 Goals' looks a little too generously priced for my liking. Take the value that +110 offers. 

Our Arsenal vs Man United Pick: Under 2.5 Goals

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+110
$250 offered for betting!

Arsenal vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Picks

Patrick Dorgu 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +110
Playing in a more advanced position, Patrick Dorgu has thrived in recent weeks. The speedy Dane now looks a real offensive threat, especially on the break, while he's started to get himself into more and more dangerous shooting positions. We've now seen Dorgu take six shots in his last three games, hitting the target at least once in each of those three games. Such numbers make odds +110 look too lenient to ignore, let's be honest.
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Arsenal vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions

This game between Arsenal and Man United will take place at Emirates Stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.