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by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks
The Arizona Cardinals and Indianapolis Colts square off on Sunday in a game marked by vastly different storylines. For Arizona, the trip to Indianapolis comes on the heels of one of the most crushing defeats in franchise memory. The Cardinals held a 22–8 lead over Tennessee late in the fourth quarter when running back Emari Demercado appeared to break free for a 72-yard touchdown that would have sealed the win. Instead, he dropped the ball inches before crossing the goal line, and the Titans capitalized on the error—staging a dramatic 16-point comeback to steal a 22–21 victory.
Head coach Jonathan Gannon was visibly furious on the sidelines, berating Demercado in front of teammates and cameras before later apologizing for his outburst. The emotional exchange symbolized the team’s broader frustrations with a season full of near-misses. The loss also left Arizona battered physically. Quarterback Kyler Murray left the game with a toe injury and is currently listed as questionable. Tight end Tip Reiman (ankle) and linebacker Cody Simon (knee) have both been ruled out, leaving major holes on both sides of the ball.
Meanwhile, Indianapolis continues to defy early-season skeptics. The Colts are 4–1 after dismantling the Raiders 40–6, cementing themselves as legitimate AFC South contenders. Their offense has been lethal in the red zone—leading the league with 12 touchdowns in goal-to-go situations—and quarterback Daniel Jones is experiencing a resurgence. With 1,290 passing yards and a 71.3% completion rate, he’s been both accurate and efficient. Running back Jonathan Taylor continues to thrive, scoring three touchdowns last week as the offense clicked on all cylinders.
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Arizona Cardinals vs Indianapolis Colts Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
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0.833 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
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0.333 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Arizona Cardinals and Indianapolis Colts Latest Matches

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Arizona Cardinals - Indianapolis Colts Key Points
- The Colts are 10-0 in their last 10 home games when favorites vs. opponents on a losing streak
- The Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games
- The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 October games
- The Cardinals are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 Week 6 games
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Our Arizona Cardinals vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction
Not everything is perfect for Indianapolis. The team suffered a major setback when kicker Spencer Shrader tore both his ACL and MCL, ending his season. Shrader had been nearly automatic, connecting on 13 of 14 field goal attempts. Despite that loss, the Colts opened as seven-point favorites, and analytics give them a 65% chance to win at home.
Arizona’s hopes of pulling an upset hinge on Murray’s health. When he’s mobile, he’s the heartbeat of the offense—leading the team in both passing and rushing. Gannon’s public apology to Demercado may help mend morale, but Murray’s lingering toe issue remains concerning, especially against an Indianapolis defense ranked among the top five in opponent EPA. For the Cardinals to compete, star rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. will need another big game after posting 98 receiving yards last week.
While the Colts are heavy favorites, bettors shouldn’t dismiss Arizona entirely. The Cardinals have quietly gone 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus AFC opponents. With emotions high and both teams managing recent adversity, Sunday’s matchup could come down to which side maintains composure when the pressure mounts. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs. Arizona Cardinals: Colts to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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