Arizona Cardinals vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Arizona Cardinals
10/12/25 13:00
Indianapolis Colts

Prediction:

 

Indianapolis Colts win both halves

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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Arizona Cardinals and Indianapolis Colts square off on Sunday in a game marked by vastly different storylines. For Arizona, the trip to Indianapolis comes on the heels of one of the most crushing defeats in franchise memory. The Cardinals held a 22–8 lead over Tennessee late in the fourth quarter when running back Emari Demercado appeared to break free for a 72-yard touchdown that would have sealed the win. Instead, he dropped the ball inches before crossing the goal line, and the Titans capitalized on the error—staging a dramatic 16-point comeback to steal a 22–21 victory.

Head coach Jonathan Gannon was visibly furious on the sidelines, berating Demercado in front of teammates and cameras before later apologizing for his outburst. The emotional exchange symbolized the team’s broader frustrations with a season full of near-misses. The loss also left Arizona battered physically. Quarterback Kyler Murray left the game with a toe injury and is currently listed as questionable. Tight end Tip Reiman (ankle) and linebacker Cody Simon (knee) have both been ruled out, leaving major holes on both sides of the ball.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis continues to defy early-season skeptics. The Colts are 4–1 after dismantling the Raiders 40–6, cementing themselves as legitimate AFC South contenders. Their offense has been lethal in the red zone—leading the league with 12 touchdowns in goal-to-go situations—and quarterback Daniel Jones is experiencing a resurgence. With 1,290 passing yards and a 71.3% completion rate, he’s been both accurate and efficient. Running back Jonathan Taylor continues to thrive, scoring three touchdowns last week as the offense clicked on all cylinders.

Arizona Cardinals vs Indianapolis Colts Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
2
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
0.833 6 5 0 1
26
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
0.333 6 2 0 4

Arizona Cardinals and Indianapolis Colts Latest Matches

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
22 :  21
Arizona Cardinals

Sep 25, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
23 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
15 :  16
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
22 :  27
Arizona Cardinals

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
20 :  13
New Orleans Saints

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
24 :  47
Arizona Cardinals
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
22 :  21
Arizona Cardinals

Sep 25, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
23 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
22 :  27
Arizona Cardinals

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
24 :  47
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

New England Patriots
17 :  30
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
30 :  18
Arizona Cardinals
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
15 :  16
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
20 :  13
New Orleans Saints

Dec 28, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
9 :  13
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
30 :  36
Carolina Panthers

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
22 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
6 :  16
Seattle Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
6 :  40
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  27
Los Angeles Rams

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
41 :  20
Tennessee Titans

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
28 :  29
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
8 :  33
Indianapolis Colts

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
23 :  26
Indianapolis Colts
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
6 :  40
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
28 :  29
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
8 :  33
Indianapolis Colts

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
23 :  26
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
30 :  38
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Detroit Lions
24 :  6
Indianapolis Colts
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  27
Los Angeles Rams

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
41 :  20
Tennessee Titans

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  45
New York Giants

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
13 :  31
Denver Broncos

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
25 :  24
New England Patriots

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
28 :  27
New York Jets

Arizona Cardinals - Indianapolis Colts Key Points

  1. The Colts are 10-0 in their last 10 home games when favorites vs. opponents on a losing streak
  2. The Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games
  3. The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 October games
  4. The Cardinals are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 Week 6 games

Our Arizona Cardinals vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

Not everything is perfect for Indianapolis. The team suffered a major setback when kicker Spencer Shrader tore both his ACL and MCL, ending his season. Shrader had been nearly automatic, connecting on 13 of 14 field goal attempts. Despite that loss, the Colts opened as seven-point favorites, and analytics give them a 65% chance to win at home.

Arizona’s hopes of pulling an upset hinge on Murray’s health. When he’s mobile, he’s the heartbeat of the offense—leading the team in both passing and rushing. Gannon’s public apology to Demercado may help mend morale, but Murray’s lingering toe issue remains concerning, especially against an Indianapolis defense ranked among the top five in opponent EPA. For the Cardinals to compete, star rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. will need another big game after posting 98 receiving yards last week.

While the Colts are heavy favorites, bettors shouldn’t dismiss Arizona entirely. The Cardinals have quietly gone 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus AFC opponents. With emotions high and both teams managing recent adversity, Sunday’s matchup could come down to which side maintains composure when the pressure mounts. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs. Arizona Cardinals: Colts to win.

Prediction:

 

Indianapolis Colts win both halves

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Arizona Cardinals vs Indianapolis Colts Picks