Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 137 Italy
Andrea Pellegrino
5/9/26 15:15
ATP 22 France
Arthur Fils

Prediction:

 

Andrea Pellegrino +1.5 Set Handicap

+220
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks

One of Saturday's most interesting matches at the ATP event in the Italian capital of Rome is the one between Andrea Pellegrino and Arthur Fils. This is Italy taking on France, and although the early odds suggest that the player from the latter nation should get the job done without a fuss, it is the Italian who could cause a shock. While Fils is yet to play a match at this tournament, Pellegrino has defeated three higher-ranked players, and it's fair to say that he's seriously thriving on home soil.

Sure, Fils is the superior player, but he really hasn't made light work of starting tournaments off in commanding fashion of late, dropping sets first time out in both Barcelona and Madrid, so there looks to be a greater chance of Pellegrino challenging the French player than the early odds suggest, especially as he'll have the home crowd behind him. 

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Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Form

Andrea Pellegrino and Arthur Fils Latest Matches

Andrea Pellegrino Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 7, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Andrea Pellegrino
2 :  1
Luca Nardi

May 5, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Martin Landaluce
1 :  2
Andrea Pellegrino

May 4, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Andrea Pellegrino
2 :  0
Hugo Gaston

Apr 20, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrea Pellegrino
0 :  2
Martin Damm Jr

Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Andrea Pellegrino
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Francisco Comesana
1 :  2
Andrea Pellegrino
Arthur Fils Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 1, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Arthur Fils

Apr 29, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Jiri Lehecka

Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Arthur Fils

Apr 26, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Emilio Nava

Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Arthur Fils
2 :  1
Ignacio Buse

Apr 19, 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Arthur Fils
Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Picks

Andrea Pellegrino - Arthur Fils Key Points

  1. Andrea Pellegrino has already played several matches in Rome.
  2. Arthur Fils will be playing his first match of the tournament and may not be as well prepared as his opponent.
  3. In both Barcelona and Madrid, Arthur Fils dropped a set against a lower-ranked player first time out.
  4. Andrea Pellegrino has already defeated three higher-ranked players in Rome.
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Our Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Prediction

We really shouldn't ignore the fact that Arthur Fils has often needed a match to really get going on clay, with him dropping sets against lower-ranked players first time out in both Barcelona and Madrid. Moreover, Andrea Pellegrino has the advantage of having played several matches in Rome already, so he should be much better adjusted to the conditions. Plus, he'll be hugely confident having already defeated some higher-ranked players. With the home crowd cheering him on, the Italian can make life tougher for Arthur Fils than the early betting would have us believe. 

Our Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Pick: Andrea Pellegrino +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Andrea Pellegrino +1.5 Set Handicap

+220
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.