Anastasia Zakharova vs Camila Osorio Prediction & Picks - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Anastasia Zakharova will attempt to cover the spread with a +4.5-game cushion against Camila Osorio, who is licking her wounds after the second-round exit in her home tournament in Bogota.
Momentum: Camilo Osorio is set to kick off her campaign in Madrid after a shocking round-of-16 exit in her home tournament in Bogota. After a promising start to her 2026 season, Osorio has somewhat hit the wall in the past weeks, going 2-3 in her last five matches. Osorio is 9-6 on the season.
After reaching the third round at the 2026 Miami Open, Anastasia Zakharova bombed out in the first round of the 2026 Charleston Open, losing to Dayana Yastremska 7-5, 6-2. Zakharova is 13-10 in 2026.
The Matchup: Camila Osorio defeated Anastasia Zakharova 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 in the first meeting at the 2024 Birmingham Open. Osorio carries a 70 percent win rate on clay into her second duel with Zakharova, who boasts a decent 57 percent win rate on clay.
Hot on the Board: Osorio is the clear-cut favorite at -260 moneyline and +100 to cover -4.5 games. Zakharova is +190 if she can pull off an upset and -140 to cover +4.5 games.
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Anastasia Zakharova vs Camila Osorio Form
Anastasia Zakharova and Camila Osorio Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 30, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Mar 21, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 19, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 17, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 16, 2026 - WTA Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 2, 2026 - WTA Bogota
Mar 31, 2026 - WTA Bogota
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 17, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 8, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Anastasia Zakharova - Camila Osorio Key Points
- Anastasia Zakharova owns a 57 percent win rate on the clay court
- Anastasia Zakharova is 18-34 vs. the top-100 players
- Camila Osorio lost in the second round of the 2026 250 Bogota
- Camila Osorio is 2-3 in her last top-5.
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Our Anastasia Zakharova vs Camila Osorio Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Camila Osorio fends off Anastasia Zakharova 6-4, 7-6
The Edge: With a 70 percent win rate on clay, Osorio is a no-brainer pick to win straight-up in this match. Osorio’s three titles on the WTA Tour came on the clay, so it’s understandable why the majority of bettors are picking her to win straight-up despite coming off a disastrous stint in Bogota.
The Bet: Back Anastasia Zakharova to cover +4.5 games for the reason that Osorio is coming into the tournament with zero form at all on clay. Osorio competed in her home tournament in Bogota, gunning for a deep run and coming out with a sharper form in time for the big tournaments in the clay-court swing. Instead, the 6-7, 6-7 loss to Jazmin Ortenzi of Argentina in the second round of that event exposed a lot of flaws in her game and certainly hurt her confidence that she worked hard to build early this season.
Ranked 79th in the world, Zakharova is nowhere near a pushover foe. The Russian owns 18 career wins against top-100 players and a winning record of 87-46 in first-round matches. In short, she will present headaches for Osorio, who will try to rebuild momentum all over again.
Our betting prediction for Anastasia Zakharova vs. Camila Osorio: Anastasia Zakharova +4.5 Games
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