Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction & Picks - WTA La Bisbal d'Emporda
WTA 125K - WTA La Bisbal d'Emporda
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Fresh from her first top-50 wins, Alina Charaeva targets another signature win against former top-10 Daria Kasatkina at the 2026 WTA 125 Catalonia. Charaeva is a +198 underdog in this match.
Current Form:
Daria Kasatkina reached the quarterfinal for the first time this season after drubbing Laura Pigosi 6-2, 6-2 in the second round. The former top-10 player had been trying to find a competitive form after winning only four matches this year before this tournament in Catalonia. Kasatkina hopes the victories over Pigosi and Emiliana Arango 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 will get her momentum going in this WTA 125 event.
Alina Charaeva bagged her first top-50 win of her career after grinding out a 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 win over world’s No.31 Xinyu Wang. Ranked 129th in the world, Charaeva has silently put together a strong clay-court record of 6-3 this year. Charaeva qualified for the main draw of the 2026 Madrid Open after picking up wins over Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-3, 6-4 and Nikola Bartunkova 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 but she succumbed to Janice Tjen 6-4, 6-2 in the first round.
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Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina Form
Alina Charaeva and Daria Kasatkina Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 22, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 21, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 20, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 14, 2026 - WTA Rouen
Apr 12, 2026 - WTA Rouen
Apr 11, 2026 - WTA Rouen
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 22, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 13, 2026 - WTA Rouen
Feb 16, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 11, 2026 - WTA Doha
Feb 10, 2026 - WTA Doha
Feb 8, 2026 - WTA Doha
Alina Charaeva - Daria Kasatkina Key Points
- Alina Charaeva is 5-9 against the top-100 players.
- Alina Charaeva has converted 47 percent of breakpoints at the 2026 WTA 125 Catalonia.
- Daria Kasatkina is 2-1 against players outside the WTA top-100 in 2026.
- Daria Kasatkina has saved 12 of 21 breakpoints at the 2026 WTA 125
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Our Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction
It’s an unpopular take, but Charaeva could come through with an upset over Kasatkina in their quarterfinal clash in Catalonia.
Charaeva owns a better record than Kasatkina over the last five matches, collecting four wins during this stretch – including two top-100 wins over Bartunkova and Wang.The Russian has created 17 breakpoint chances in two matches, converting 8, for a 47% conversion rate.
Meanwhile, Kasatkina has already been broken 9 times after just two rounds. On the positive note, Kasatkina has converted 43 percent of the 30 breakpoints she created in this tournament. Still, dropping that many service games in two matches leaves her vulnerable to a player who has been doing well on clay recently.
Our betting prediction for Daria Kasatkina vs. Alina Charaeva: Alina Charaeva will win.
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