Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Roma
10/14/26 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Draw and both teams to score

+319
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 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

Jose Mourinho returns to one of his former clubs on Wednesday night, as Real Madrid visit Roma in a crucial Champions League contest at the Stadio Olimpico. 

It has been an unconvincing start to the season for Real, and they already find themselves six points behind leaders Barcelona in the La Liga standings. Worryingly for Mourinho, there are already murmurs of discontent from the Real home faithful concerning his side's style of play. A convincing win in Rome would go a long way towards silencing those doubters. 

Roma's are unbeaten so far this season and have conceded just three goals in their opening six Serie A fixtures. At the other end of the field, striker Donyell Malen is enjoying the best form of his career. The Dutch frontman is at the top of the Serie A goal charts with an impressive six goals in six games. 

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Roma vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13 Real Madrid
3 1 1 0 0 +1
17 Roma
1 1 0 1 0 0

Roma and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Roma
Roma Latest matches
W W D W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 11, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Roma

Sep 19, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  2
Inter Milan

Sep 14, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Roma

Sep 10, 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Roma

Sep 5, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

Aug 31, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  2
Inter Milan

Sep 5, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

Aug 24, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

May 17, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Lazio

May 4, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 18, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta
L D W D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 11, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Roma

Sep 14, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Roma

Sep 10, 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Roma

Aug 31, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Villarreal

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Madrid
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Villarreal

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

La Coruna
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Roma against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

0 %

Draw

0 %

Real Madrid

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2018 - Champions League

Roma
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 19, 2018 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Roma

Aug 7, 2018 - International Champions Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Roma
Roma vs Real Madrid Picks

Real Madrid v Roma last Lineups

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

95
P. Gollini
23
G. Mancini
5
E. Ndicka
22
M. Hermoso
43
W. Franca
15
M. De Roon
17
M. Kone
20
N. Molina
21
P. Dybala
7
L. Pellegrini
14
D. Malen
10
K. Mbappe
25
Y. Diomande
5
J. Bellingham
15
A. Guler
14
A. Tchouameni
8
F. Valverde
18
A. Carreras
22
A. Rudiger
16
I. Konate
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

D. Vasquez

Defender

L. Balerdi

D. Ghilardi

E. Lulli

D. Rensch

Midfielder

R. Mora

N. Pisilli

Forward

S. Castro

M. Soule

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

S. Mestre

Defender

M. Cucurella

D. Dumfries

Midfielder

T. Pitarch Pinar

B. Silva

E. Camavinga

Forward

B. Diaz

C. Espi

Endrick

Vinicius Junior

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

M. Svilar

Midfielder

B. Cristante

M. Bah

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

R. Asencio

Forward

Rodrygo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Italy B. Cristante (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (1 Goals) ,  Uruguay F. Valverde (1 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands D. Malen (1 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco B. Diaz (1 Assists)

Roma and Real Madrid Stats in Champions League

Roma
Roma
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
0%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
100%
Draws
0%
2
Average goals per match
3
1
Goals scored per match
2
1
Goals conceded per match
1
100%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
Both score
100%

Roma - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Real have scored in 11 of their last 12 games
  2. Roma have drawn 3 of their last 4 games
  3. Roma are unbeaten in 13 matches
  4. Roma have not lost a Serie A home game since November
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Our Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction

Madrid are big favorites here, but whilst they clearly have the superior starting eleven, Roma are an extremely tough team to beat, especially at the Stadio Olimpico. 

Gian Piero Gasperini's side have become draw specialists in recent weeks, and we think they are capable of claiming a vital point on Wednesday night. 

With the likes of Kylian Mbappe, Donyell Malen, Vini Jnr and Jude Bellingham on the field, goals seem inevitable in this one. As such, we really like the odds of over 4.00 on the game ending in a score draw. 

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Real Madrid is: Draw and both teams to score. 

Prediction:

 

Draw and both teams to score

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.