Algeria vs DR Congo Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Algeria
1/6/26 11:00
DR Congo

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-195
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 by Erik Gibbs | in AFCON Picks

Algeria and DR Congo arrive at their AFCON round-of-16 meeting on January 6 with momentum built across qualifiers, friendlies, and tournament play over the past year. Algeria have looked re-energized under new management, balancing experienced internationals with emerging domestic and European-based talent. Their calendar leading into AFCON featured World Cup qualifiers, regional competition, and warm-up matches that helped stabilize the squad after an inconsistent previous cycle.

DR Congo, meanwhile, have quietly rebuilt into one of the tournament's most cohesive sides, focusing on structure and squad depth rather than star dependency. Their preparation has included competitive qualifiers and well-chosen friendlies, allowing newer players to integrate alongside veterans. Both teams entered the tournament with realistic expectations of advancing beyond the group stage, and neither has looked overawed by pressure, reinforcing their reputations as disciplined and tactically adaptable African contenders.

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Algeria vs DR Congo Form

Algeria and DR Congo Latest Matches

Algeria
Algeria Latest matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  3
Algeria

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 12, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
1 :  1
United Arab Emirates

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
2 :  0
Iraq

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
1 :  5
Algeria
W D W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 12, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
1 :  1
United Arab Emirates

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
2 :  0
Iraq

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan

Nov 13, 2025 - International Friendlies

Algeria
3 :  1
Zimbabwe
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  3
Algeria

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
1 :  5
Algeria

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Saudi Arabia
0 :  2
Algeria

Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  3
Algeria

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  0
Algeria

Aug 23, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Algeria
DR Congo
DR Congo Latest matches
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Botswana
0 :  3
DR Congo

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  0
Benin

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Cameroon
0 :  1
DR Congo
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  0
Benin

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
1 :  0
Sudan

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
2 :  3
Senegal

Aug 17, 2025 - African Nations Championship

DR Congo
1 :  3
Morocco

Aug 7, 2025 - African Nations Championship

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia
W W W D D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Botswana
0 :  3
DR Congo

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Cameroon
0 :  1
DR Congo

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Togo
0 :  1
DR Congo

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
1 :  4
DR Congo

Algeria - DR Congo: Form Analysis

Recent performances underline why this matchup is viewed as one of the most evenly balanced ties in the knockout round. Algeria were near-flawless in group play, winning all three matches with a blend of defensive control and timely attacking bursts. They limited opponents to very few clear chances while maintaining composure in close games, a hallmark of tournament-savvy teams.

DR Congo's ability to absorb pressure and then strike decisively stood out, particularly in matches where they ceded possession but controlled space effectively.

DR Congo followed a slightly different path but were equally impressive, finishing their group unbeaten with a mix of pragmatic defending and explosive attacking spells. Statistically, both sides posted strong defensive numbers and avoided heavy scorelines, suggesting a shared emphasis on structure. The contrast lies mainly in tempo, with Algeria generally dictating play and DR Congo appearing comfortable reacting and countering.

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Algeria against DR Congo Lineups: Starting 11

Algeria

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
L. Zidane
25
R. Belghali
2
A. Mandi
21
R. Bensebaini
15
R. Ait-Nouri
14
H. Boudaoui
10
I. Bennacer
17
F. Chaibi
7
R. Mahrez
22
I. Maza
18
M. Amoura
17
C. Bakambu
14
N. Sadiki
13
M. Elia
6
N. Mukau
10
T. Bongonda
12
Kayembe
22
C. Mbemba
8
S. Moutoussamy
4
A. Tuanzebe
2
A. Wan-Bissaka
1
L. Mpasi

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

DR Congo

Algeria & DR Congo Squad Analysis

Individual performances have played a major role in shaping both teams' recent success. Algeria continue to rely on experienced leaders in wide and advanced positions, with senior attackers providing goals and younger midfielders offering energy and ball progression. Creativity from wide areas and intelligent movement between the lines have been consistent themes, while the back line has benefited from clear communication and positional discipline.

DR Congo's playmakers have contributed goals, assists, and key transitions, often stepping up in decisive moments.

For DR Congo, several attacking players have enjoyed standout moments, particularly those capable of operating between midfield and forward lines. Defensively, DR Congo's spine has been equally important, with center-backs and holding midfielders limiting opposition chances and allowing attacking players freedom to take risks. The balance between experience and form players on both sides gives each coach multiple tactical options.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Algeria
CD Huachipato DR Congo
Top Goalscorer
Algeria R. Mahrez (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Congo G. Kakuta (2 Goals)
Best assists
Algeria A. Hadj Moussa (2 Assists)
Algeria H. Boudaoui (2 Assists)
Best assists
Congo G. Kakuta (1 Assists)
Congo A. Masuaku (1 Assists)
Congo T. Bongonda (1 Assists)

Algeria - DR Congo Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Algeria's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 2-3 in DR Congo's last 5 games
  3. Algeria are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. DR Congo are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Algeria vs DR Congo Prediction

Looking ahead to the knockout clash, the game shapes up as a cautious but compelling contest where small margins are likely to decide the outcome. Algeria's preference for controlling possession may clash with DR Congo's comfort in defending compactly and breaking quickly, creating a tactical battle rather than an open shootout.

Given both teams' recent defensive records, a low- to moderate-scoring match appears more likely than a goal-heavy affair. Algeria may hold a slight edge due to their consistency and ability to manage game states, but DR Congo's resilience makes them dangerous if the match stays level deep into the second half. From a betting perspective, narrow scorelines, unders on total goals, or Algeria edging the result all align with recent trends. Our prediction for Algeria vs. DR Congo: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-195
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Algeria vs DR Congo - Other Interesting Picks

Fares Chaibi to 0.5+ assists

Odds +475
Fares Chaïbi is an elite creative force ranking in the 99th percentile for assists this season, having already recorded 8 assists across all competitions for Eintracht Frankfurt and Algeria. As the team's primary set-piece specialist and attacking engine, he's the most likely player to provide the final ball against a compact DR Congo defense.
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Algeria vs DR Congo Picks