Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1/18/26 10:15
Alavés

Prediction:

 

Atletico Madrid to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

-130
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

One of Sunday's four LaLiga games see Atletico Madrid and Alaves clash at Metropolitano Stadium, where the hosts will be looking to continue their assault on the all-important top four. Diego Simeone's men haven't been in the best of form since returning from the short winter break, tying with Real Sociedad in the league, before losing to Real Madrid in the Spanish Super Cup. They did resume winning ways during the week, beating Deportivo La Coruna by a goal to zero in the Copa del Rey. Can they now pick up three points in the league? 

The visitors were also successful in the cup during the week, beating fellow LaLiga outfit Rayo Vallecano by two goals to zero on home soil. That was a first win in four games (in all competitions) for Eduardo Coudet's men, who haven't done too badly this season, though the Baque Country side aren't out of the fight for survival, as they sit just two points above the drop. 

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Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Atletico Madrid
69 38 21 6 11 +18
14 Alavés
43 38 11 10 17 -12

Atletico Madrid and Alavés Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
W W W D L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

La Coruna
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Valencia
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Valencia

Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Nov 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Levante

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

La Coruna
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid
Alavés
Alavés Latest matches
L W L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Alavés

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Real Oviedo

Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  0
Alavés

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
1 :  0
Sevilla

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Real Oviedo

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
1 :  0
Sevilla

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Celta Vigo
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Alavés

Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  0
Alavés

Dec 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Club Portugalete
0 :  3
Alavés

Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Alavés

Nov 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Alavés

Oct 30, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Getxo
0 :  7
Alavés

Atletico Madrid against Alavés : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

50 %

Draw

33 %

Alavés

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Nov 23, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

Apr 21, 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Oct 29, 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

Apr 2, 2022 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Alavés
Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Picks

Atletico Madrid against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
18
M. Pubill
17
D. Hancko
3
M. Ruggeri
20
G. Simeone
5
J. Cardoso
8
B. Pablo
11
T. Almada
9
A. Sorloth
19
J. Alvarez
11
T. Martinez
10
C. Alena
19
P. Ibanez
18
J. Guridi
23
C. Vicente
8
A. Blanco
24
V. Parada
5
J. Pacheco
14
N. Tenaglia
17
J. Otto
1
A. Sivera

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Alavés

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Esquivel

J. Musso

Defender

R. Belaid

R. Le Normand

J. Cardoso 78'

N. Molina

A. Sorloth 86'

J. Gimenez

Midfielder

A. Monserrate

Koke

G. Simeone 61'

A. Griezmann

J. Alvarez 61'

A. Baena

T. Almada 61'

Alavés
Alavés
Goalkeeper

R. Fernandez

Defender

Y. Enriquez

Midfielder

Calebe

C. Protesoni

D. Suarez

J. Guridi 54'

A. Guevara

P. Ibanez 54'

Forward

L. Boye

T. Martinez 54'

A. Rebbach

C. Alena 69'

A. Manas

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

C. Lenglet

Alavés
Alavés

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Alavés
Top Goalscorer
Norway A. Sorloth (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain T. Martinez (14 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina G. Simeone (6 Assists)
Best assists
Spain C. Alena (4 Assists)
Algeria A. Rebbach (4 Assists)
Spain A. Perez (4 Assists)

Atletico Madrid - Alavés Key Points

  1. The visitors have scored in just four out of nine away games this season.
  2. Only one of Alaves' nine away games in the league this season has contained more than three goals.
  3. When the teams met earlier in the season, less than three goals were scored.
  4. The hosts have won each of their last five at home, with more than three goals being scored in just one of those five.
Up to $150 to bet on Atletico Madrid - Alavés! 

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Our Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Prediction

The hosts have more than enough all-round quality to see of a team such as Alaves, but they've not been scoring too many goals of late, while the visitors aren't unfamiliar with avoiding complete batterings, so don't be too surprised if we see Simeone's men record a relatively low-scoring victory. 

After all, the Atleti boys have not scored more than twice in any of their last three at home (in all competitions), conceding more than once in none of those three. Throw in the fact that more than three goals have been scored in only one of Alaves' nine away games in the league this season and odds of -130 start to appeal. 

Our Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Pick: Atletico Madrid to Win & Under 3.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Atletico Madrid to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

-130
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.