Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
No.3 seed Alexander Zverev will tussle with Francisco Cerundolo of Argentina for a place in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Australian Open.
Recommended Pick: Francisco Cerundolo +4.5 Games
Potential Payout: $220 for every $120 Bet (-120)
Current Form:
Zverev progressed to the round-of-16 of the Australian Open following yet another four-set win over Cameron Norrie 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 6-1. The 2025 Australian Open runner-up held all except two service games and converted six break points behind 30 return points on Norrie’s first serves. Zverev is winning 77.3 percent of his first serves and converting 47 percent of breakpoints at this year’s Australian Open.
Meanwhile, Cerundolo put the tennis world on notice after posting three consecutive straight-set victories, including a masterclass win over Andrey Rublev 6-3, 7-6, 6-3. Cerundolo is winning almost 80 percent of his first serves and converting 50 percent of breakpoint chances over three matches in Melbourne.
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Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Form
Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 23, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 17, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 5, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 3, 2026 - United Cup
Nov 22, 2025 - Davis Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 23, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 17, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 13, 2026 - Adelaide International
Nov 20, 2025 - Davis Cup
Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Alexander Zverev against Francisco Cerundolo : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
Nov 20, 2025 - Davis Cup
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Feb 14, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
Apr 30, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo Key Points
- Francisco Cerundolo is winning almost 80 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Francisco Cerundolo is 3-2 vs. Alexander Zverev.
- Alexander Zverev is averaging 16.3 aces per match at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Alexander Zverev has a career 62.5 percent win rate in fourth-round matches.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Alexander Zverev survives upset scare from Francisco Cerundolo 4-6, 6-7, 7-6, 6-1, 6-4
Reason: I am predicting a five-set banger between Cerundolo and Zverev, who never fail to entertain whenever they play each other. Cerundolo has been in fantastic form, reaching the fourth round here in Melbourne without dropping a set.
Zverev’s campaign in this year’s Australian Open is not as impeccable as that of his rivals, like Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, but the important thing is that he got the job done by playing smart and disciplined tennis.
Does Cerundolo have enough firepower in his arsenal to beat Zverev? I don’t think so. However, I am certain that he will push the top-ranked German to the limit. By the way, Cerundolo might be 3-2 vs. Zverev head-to-head, but he earned all of his three wins on the clay court, where he’s more comfortable. He has never beaten Zverev in a hard-court match. At last year’s Davis Cup, Zverev topped Cerundolo 6-4, 7-6 in concrete court. Like what happened in this match, Sunday’s showdown is gonna be a thriller, though it’s still Zverev who will come out on top.
Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Francisco Cerundolo +4.5 Games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.