Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 16 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
9/4/26 11:00
ATP 21 USA
Tommy Paul

Prediction:

 

Alexander Bublik to Win

+140
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks

Two hugely talented but often frustrating players will go head-to-head at Flushing Meadows on Friday, when Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul will clash at the US Open, much as they did one year ago. Bublik came out on top on that occasion, but he hasn't always found it easy to face Paul, so let's see what happens here.

From a betting angle, it's not overly difficult to conclude that Alexander Bublik is leniently priced at odds of +140. Sure, this is absolutely a match that could go either way, but if we look at how strong he looked against Adrian Mannarino last time out and couple that with the fact that the Kazakh player came out on top when the pair met at Flushing Meadows last year, then Bublik deserves more respect than he's getting from a price of +140. 

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Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Form

Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  1
Jeffrey John Wolf

Jul 25, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Quentin Halys

Jul 24, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Jul 23, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Alex Molcan

Jul 22, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Tommy Paul Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Dino Prizmic
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Coleman Wong
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

Aug 20, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

Aug 19, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

Aug 17, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

Alexander Bublik against Tommy Paul : Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

33 %

Tommy Paul

67 %

Aug 30, 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  2
Tommy Paul

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

Jul 5, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Tommy Paul
3 :  0
Alexander Bublik
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Picks

Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. When these two players last met at Flushing Meadows, Alexander Bublik came out on top.
  2. Tommy Paul has dropped sets against two lower-ranked players at the tournament so far.
  3. Alexander Bublik arrives off the back of a very commanding straight-set win last time out.
  4. Tommy Paul lost his last hard-court match against a higher-ranked player.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Alexander Bublik has long been the type of player who could easily go all the way at a Grand Slam, and off the back of some very solid tennis in 2026, with the Kazakh player rising high in the rankings, he really should be eyeing up proper run at this US Open. Last time out against Adrian Mannarino, Bublik looked in hot form, while he can draw on the positive experience of beating Tommy Paul at Flushing Meadows last year. This is enough to conclude that odds of +140 are too lenient to ignore. 

Our Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Pick: Alexander Bublik to Win.

Prediction:

 

Alexander Bublik to Win

+140
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.