Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan faces a 5.5-game handicap ahead of his third-round showdown with Tomas Martin Etcheverry at the 2026 Australian Open on Friday.
Recommended: Alexander Bublik -5.5 games
Potential Payout: $210 for every $110 Bet
Current Form:
Bublik has steadily established himself as a dark-horse contender at the Australian Open after posting three-set sweeps of Jenson Brooksby of the United States 6-4, 6-4, 6-4, and Marton Fucsovics of Hungary 7-5, 6-4, 7-5. Bublik has weaponized his service game well in the tournament, winning 75 percent of his first balls and averaging 12.5 aces per match.
Etcheverry marched into the round of 16 with a straight-set victory over Arthur Ferry of Great Britain 7-6, 6-1, 6-3. Roughly 48 hours after hacking out a five-set win over Miomir Kecmanovic of Serbia, the Argentine delivered a sharper and more potent showing against Ferry, holding all except one of his service games and shattering the Brit’s serves five times.
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Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Form
Alexander Bublik and Tomas Martin Etcheverry Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 11, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 10, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 9, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 8, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 17, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 13, 2026 - ASB Classic
Jan 7, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 6, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Nov 20, 2025 - Davis Cup
Alexander Bublik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Key Points
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry is completing 62.2 percent of his first serves in 2026.
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry is a career 0-17 vs. the ATP top-10 players.
- Alexander Bublik is averaging 12.5 aces per match at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Alexander Bublik is 1-0 vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Alexander Bublik sails through to a 6-4, 6-4, 6-1 win over Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Reason: It’s gonna be another three-set masterpiece for Bublik, who continues to play elite-level tennis after his swashbuckling run at the Hong Kong Tennis Championship. The Kazakh has only dropped three service games at the Australian Open and is totally slaughtering his opponents with his impeccable service game.
On the other hand, you have Etcheverry, who managed to secure a third-round appearance by taking down Kecmanovic in five sets and Ferry in three. Etcheverry would have been dangerous if this were a clay-court tournament, but taking on a red-hot Bublik on his weakest surface makes the challenge ever more grueling.
Our betting prediction for Alexander Bublik vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry: Alexander Bublik -5.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
