Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 11 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
4/25/26 15:40
ATP 84 Greece
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Prediction:

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win

+130
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

There's a rather interesting clash between two players who've never really fulfilled sizable potential, or rather a match between two players who were both expected to reach the very top of the game but haven't quite managed it. Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas will meet at the Mutua Madrid Open, playing on clay for the first time. 

At present, it is Bublik who is ranked much higher than his opponent, but there's probably not quite as much between the pair as the current rankings suggest. In fact, neither player arrives in great form, but given that he's arguably the better clay-court player and the fact the Greek competitor has previously reached the final of this event, Tsitsipas looks a little generously priced. 

Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form

Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

Apr 10, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Gael Monfils
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Rinky Hijikata
Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 23, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Patrick Kypson
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Fabian Marozsan
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Apr 6, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 22, 2026 - ATP Miami

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Mar 19, 2026 - ATP Miami

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Arthur Fery

Alexander Bublik against Stefanos Tsitsipas : Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

0 %

Stefanos Tsitsipas

100 %

Feb 22, 2020 - ATP Marseille

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Alexander Bublik - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points

  1. When the pair last met, Stefanos Tsitsipas came out on top in straight sets.
  2. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won each of his previous two matches against Alexander Bublik.
  3. Stefanos Tsitsipas has previously reached the final of the Madrid Open.
  4. Alexander Bublik lost to a lower-ranked player in straight sets last time out.

Our Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction

At the end of the day, this is no easy match to call, and there's not really any result that would be a huge shock, but there are a couple of key factors that the early market seems to not factoring in quite enough. Firstly, Tsitsipas likes Madrid and has previously reached the final in the Spanish capital. Secondly, he's a better clay-court player than Bublik, who is at his best on other surfaces. Moreover, the Greek has a 100% record against Bublik, albeit not on clay. 

All in all, odds of +130 for the former Madrid Open finalist to come out on top are worth taking. 

Our Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Pick: Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win

+130
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Picks