27 April 2024 - 12:10
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ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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ATP 62
Prediction:
Alexander Bublik to Win
Odds : +195
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Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Saturday's ATP action in Madrid includes a match between the exciting yet often underwhelming Alexander Bublik and Roberto Carballes Baena. The Spanish player is ranked someway below the Kazakh talent yet thanks to his superior recent form on clay, he's quite a strong favourite in the early betting. Can he maintain his current form? Or will a player who is capable of beating even the best players on tour show us what he's made of?
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Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Carballes Baena Form
Alexander Bublik and Roberto Carballes Baena Latest Matches
Alexander Bublik
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
L
L
Victories
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
Apr 7, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Alexander Bublik
0 :
2
Borna Ćorić
Mar 23, 2024 - ATP Miami
Alexander Bublik
0 :
2
Matteo Arnaldi
Mar 10, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
Alexander Bublik
0 :
2
Alex De Minaur
Mar 8, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
Alexander Bublik
2 :
0
Juncheng Shang
Mar 2, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open
Ugo Humbert
2 :
0
Alexander Bublik
Mar 1, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open
Alexander Bublik
abort
Andrey Rublev
Roberto Carballes Baena
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
L
W
Victories
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
Apr 25, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Dominik Koepfer
1 :
2
Roberto Carballes Baena
Apr 18, 2024 - ATP Barcelona
Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :
2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Apr 17, 2024 - ATP Barcelona
Lorenzo Musetti
0 :
2
Roberto Carballes Baena
Apr 16, 2024 - ATP Barcelona
Hugo Grenier
0 :
2
Roberto Carballes Baena
Apr 7, 2024 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :
2
Matteo Berrettini
Apr 6, 2024 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Pavel Kotov
0 :
2
Roberto Carballes Baena
Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena Key Points
- When the pair last met, Alexander Bublik won by two sets to nil.
- Bublik is currently ranked 50 places above Carballes Baena.
- Bublik has a 100% record against Carballes Baena on clay.
- Alexander Bublik recently reached a final in Dubai, so we know he's capable of going deep into tournaments.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction
At the end of the day, Carballes Baena has more recent experience on clay that Bublik, while he's certainyl been playing well, so he deserves to be the favourite ahead of this clash. However, does he really deserve to be such a strong favourite ahead of a match against a player ranked 50 places above him? As far as I'm concerned, definitely not. Sure, we know that Bublik is the type of player to often throw matches, while his attitude is often questionable, but hsi talent is not, and if he's on it, this is absolutely the sort of match he could make light work of. Last season on clay, we saw Bublik beat much better players than Carballes Baena. Frankly, odds of +195 are just a little too generous given the overall quality of the Kazakh player. Our Prediction: Alexander Bublik to Win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
