Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikata Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells

ATP - ATP Indian Wells

ATP 11 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
3/9/26 16:10
ATP 106 Australia
Rinky Hijikata

Prediction:

 

Rinky Hijikata +1.5 Set Handicap

+130
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Indian Wells Picks

One of the top-10 contingent will be in action at the ATP event in Indian Wells on Monday, and that top-10 player is Alexander Bublik, who has definitely shifted through the gears in 2026. Winning with much more regularity, the hugely talented Kazakh is finally turning his fantastic ability into tangible results, though he continues to be a player who struggled to find high-level consistency. In other words, he's not recording many straight-set wins, while he's still someone who can fail to deliver against much lower-ranked players. 

Rinky Hijikata is a much lower-ranked player, but he's also and in-form player, who has won four on the spin. The Aussie has also had longer to get used to courts in Indian Wells, while he played well when the pair met last year, which means that he may just fancy himself to cause a bit of an upset here. At the very least, it's not tough to see Hijikata making life tough for Bublik. 

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Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikata Form

Alexander Bublik and Rinky Hijikata Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
2 :  1
Vit Kopriva

Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Tallon Griekspoor
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

Feb 13, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Jaume Munar
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Feb 12, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Jan-Lennard Struff
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik
Rinky Hijikata Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Rinky Hijikata
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

Mar 5, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Francesco Maestrelli
0 :  2
Rinky Hijikata

Mar 3, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Ignacio Buse
1 :  2
Rinky Hijikata

Mar 2, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Leandro Riedi
0 :  2
Rinky Hijikata

Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Rinky Hijikata
0 :  2
Mattia Bellucci

Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Rinky Hijikata
0 :  2
Yibing Wu

Alexander Bublik - Rinky Hijikata Key Points

  1. Rinky Hijikata beat a much higher-ranked player last time out.
  2. When the pair last met, back in 2025, Rinky Hijikata avoided a straight-set defeat.
  3. Alexander Bublik has only won one of his last eight matches in straight sets.
  4. Alexander Bublik has only won one of his last six matches against lower-ranked players in straight sets.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikata Prediction

A quick glance at the rankings would certainly suggest that this is an easy match for Alexander Bublik, and the early absolutely support that. However, even the new and improved Bublik is far from the most consistent player, even if he is one of the most naturally gifted players around. The Kazakh player may now be a top-10 competitor, but that didn't stop him from recently exiting the Dubai event at the hands of the lower-ranked Tallon Griekspoor. 

Up against an in-form player in Rinky Hijikata, who arrives off the back of a solid win against a higher-ranked player, Bublik may have to work harder than the early odds would have us believe. After all, he needed a third set to get the job done when the pair met in Phoenix around this time last year. 

Our Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikata Pick: Rinky Hijikata +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Rinky Hijikata +1.5 Set Handicap

+130
$250 offered for betting!

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Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikata Picks