Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open

ATP - ATP Australian Open

ATP 11 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
1/25/26 03:10
ATP 5 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Over 4.5 Sets

+220
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Australian Open Picks

For US viewers, during the early hours of Saturday monring, things start to heat up at the Australian Open, and I don't just mean the temperature. There's a hugely interesting match between Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur. This is an all-top-ten clash between two fabulous players. Now ranked at tenth in the world, Bublik has turned up in excellent form this week, winning each of his three matches in straight sets. Is the man from Kazakhstan finally becoming the player that his talent warrants? Time will soon tell, but he's in fine form here and should have more than enough about him to give Alex De Minaur a great match.

Ranked at six, De Minaur knows how to deliver the goods on the big stage, and after beating Frances Tiafoe in four sets last time out, the Aussie should fancy himself to once again reach the quarter finals of his home slam. However, beating an in-form Bublik who has plenty of tricks up his sleeve will not be easy, let's be honest. 

Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Form

Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jan 23, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Marton Fucsovics

Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Jenson Brooksby

Jan 11, 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Jan 10, 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Jan 9, 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Juncheng Shang
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 23, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Frances Tiafoe
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur

Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Hamad Medjedovic
1 :  3
Alex De Minaur

Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Mackenzie Mcdonald
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur

Jan 9, 2026 - United Cup

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

Jan 6, 2026 - United Cup

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Jakub Mensik

Jan 3, 2026 - United Cup

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Alexander Bublik against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

67 %

Alex De Minaur

33 %

Oct 31, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexander Bublik
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

May 29, 2025 - ATP French Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  3
Alexander Bublik

Mar 10, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Picks

Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. When these two players last met, the match went all the way.
  2. When the pair last met at a Grand Slam, back in 2025, five sets were shared.
  3. Each of the last two matches between these players has gone the distance.
  4. Neither player has made a habit of losing in straight sets of late.

Our Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

For my money, this has the makings of a classic. Both players have been playing some top tennis this week, and neither player looks like they're about to go down without a serious fight, so we could very easily see five sets unfold between these two. After all, the pair have form for playing out long and hard-fought matches at Grand Slams. 

Back in 2025, these two players met at the French Open, where they shared the court for a long time, playing out five sets. When they met in Paris back in October, they also went the distance, so do not be surprised if this goes all the way. 

Our Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Pick: Over 4.5 Sets.

Prediction:

 

Over 4.5 Sets

+220
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.