Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks
Having returned to the hard-court realm with that first-round win over Jeffrey John Wolf, Alexander Bublik is now up against Adrian Mannarino, who like Wolf, is currently ranked below the Kazakh world number 16. On paper this look like a lovely opportunity for Bublik to continue stepping on the gas, but Mannarino can do some damage if somewhere near his peak, so we probably shouldn't expect this to be a total walk in the park for the higher-ranked player.
Those looking get stuck in from a betting point of view should consider 'Over 3.5 Sets' at odds of -167, which may just be generous. After all, Alexander Bublik doesn't win many Grand Slam matches in straight sets, doing so in just one of his last seven matches at slams. Both players were involved in matches containing more than three sets during the first round.
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Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Form
Alexander Bublik and Adrian Mannarino Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Jul 25, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 24, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 23, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 22, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 16, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 25, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Alexander Bublik against Adrian Mannarino : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino Key Points
- During the first round, Alexander Bublik was involved in a four-set match.
- Adrian Mannarino was involved in a five-set match during the first round.
- At least four sets have been played in four of Alexander Bublik's last five Grand Slam matches against top-100 opponents.
- Alexander Bublik has only won one of his last seven Grand Slam matches in straight sets.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction
Sure, this is a match that Alexander Bublik should win, and it will be disappointing if the world number 16 can't get over the line against a lower-ranked player who hasn't exactly set the world alight with his hard-court play of late. However, Bublik hasn't exactly made a habit of winning Grand Slam matches in straight sets this season, winning only one of his last seven best-of-five-set matches without dropping a set.
Considering that four of his last five (80%) Grand Slam matches against top-100 opponents have contained more than three sets, 'Over 3.5 Sets' looks a little leniently priced at odds of -167 (= 62.5% implied probability).
Our Alexander Bublik v Adrian Mannarino Pick: Over 3.5 Sets.
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