Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 86 Slovakia
Alex Molcan
9/1/26 13:50
ATP 97 France
Benjamin Bonzi

Prediction:

 

Benjamin Bonzi to Win

-189
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks

Alex Molcan will take to the court for the first time in nearly a month when he begins his US Open campaign on Tuesday. The Slovakian player has not been seen competitively since retiring from a clay-court match in Germany during the first week of August, which means that he's had zero hard-court prep ahead of 2026's final Grand Slam. In contrast, Benjamin Bonzi has played plenty of hard-court tennis, recently reaching the semi finals in Winston-Salem, which should set him up nicely for this task. 

Given that Benjamin Bonzi is the current world number 97, odds of -189 may seem too short, especially as he's up against the world number 86. Here's the thing, though, the French player has been enjoying himself on hard courts of late, while his opponent hasn't played competitively on a hard surface since the first week in March. That fact cannot be overlooked. 

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Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Form

Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi Latest Matches

Alex Molcan Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 23, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Alex Molcan

Jul 22, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  1
Daniel Altmaier

Jul 21, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  0
Sebastian Ofner

Jul 17, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Damir Dzumhur
2 :  1
Alex Molcan

Jul 16, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jul 14, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  0
Valentin Royer
Benjamin Bonzi Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 28, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Ignacio Buse
2 :  1
Benjamin Bonzi

Aug 27, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Benjamin Bonzi
2 :  0
Botic Van De Zandschulp

Aug 26, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Rinky Hijikata
0 :  2
Benjamin Bonzi

Aug 25, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Benjamin Bonzi
2 :  1
Quentin Halys

Aug 24, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Kamil Majchrzak
0 :  2
Benjamin Bonzi

Aug 11, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Dušan Lajović
2 :  1
Benjamin Bonzi
Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Picks

Alex Molcan - Benjamin Bonzi Key Points

  1. Alex Molcan has lost three of his last four hard-court matches.
  2. Alex Molcan has not played a competitive hard-court match since early March 2026.
  3. Alex Molcan has not played a competitive match on any surface in nearly a month.
  4. Benjamin Bonzi has won four of his last five hard-court matches.
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Our Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Prediction

The fact that Alex Molcan has played neither a match in nearly a month nor a match on a hard court since March could be a bigger issue for the Slovakian than the early betting suggests. The market has adjusted, sure, but probably not enough. Benjamin Bonzi is in very decent hard-court shape right now, so much so that, at odds of -189, he's worth betting on to take advantage of his opponents' lack of action, which really is impossible to overlook. 

Our Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Pick: Benjamin Bonzi to Win.

Prediction:

 

Benjamin Bonzi to Win

-189
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.