Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Picks - Almaty Open
ATP - Almaty Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
The man who lifted the trophy in Almaty back in 2024 will be in first-round action on Tuesday. Karen Khachanov begins his journey for a second title in Almaty with a very nice match against Rei Sakamoto. The Japanese player has shown some decent form of late, but all the signs point towards him struggling in this match.
At the time of writing, Karen Khachanov is available at odds of -204 (Fanatics), and despite appearing on the skinny side, such a price offers value for money. In most other places, the Russian is considerably shorter in the betting, and rightly so. At the very least, a fair price for Khachanov to win this match would be -250, so anything bigger should be taken by those looking for both a likely winning bet and value for money.
Limited Offer. Currently at Fanatics
Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov Form
Rei Sakamoto and Karen Khachanov Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 18, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 17, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 13, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Rei Sakamoto - Karen Khachanov Key Points
- Rei Sakamoto lost his last match against a top-25 player in straight sets.
- Karen Khachanov won his last match against a lower-ranked player.
- Karen Khachanov has won each of his last six matches against players ranked outside of the top 30.
- In his last six matches against players ranked outside of the top 30, Karen Khachanov has dropped just one set.
- Karen Khachanov won this event back in 2024.
Limited Offer. Currently at Fanatics
Our Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
If Karen Khachanov, who is a strong hard-court player in general, wanted the perfect opportunity to build momentum at this event by recording a convincing first-round win, then he's got his wish. This is nothing other than a hugely winnable match for the Russian, so much so that he should be priced shorter than the currently available -204.
Not only does the world number 25 have an excellent recent record against lower-ranked players, but he's a previous winner of this event.
Our Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov Pick: Karen Khachanov to Win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
