Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open

ATP - ATP French Open

ATP 40 USA
Alex Michelsen
5/29/26 07:10
ATP 24 Spain
Rafael Jodar

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

-125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP French Open Picks

One of the most promising ATP players will be back in action on Friday, when the rapidly rising Rafael Jodar will take to the court against Alex Michelsen. Having played some superb tennis in 2026, especially on clay in the last few months, Jodar is up to 29 in the rankings, and he's expected by many to rise a lot higher, such is the level of his play. This match against the world number 42 is a decent opportunity for the youngster to continue impressing, but he'll need to be at his best to make light work of it. 

Sure, Jodar is a big favorite in the early betting, and the young Spaniard can be expected to come out on top, but is he strong enough to win this without coming under pressure at all? Michelsen is a very decent competitor, so much so that it won't be that surprising if this match extends beyond a third set. At odds of -125, betting on 'Over 3.5 Sets' is the way to go. 

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Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Form

Alex Michelsen and Rafael Jodar Latest Matches

Alex Michelsen Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 27, 2026 - ATP French Open

Nishesh Basavareddy
1 :  3
Alex Michelsen

May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open

Aleksandr Shevchenko
0 :  3
Alex Michelsen

May 21, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open

Alex Michelsen
1 :  2
Learner Tien

May 20, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open

Stan Wawrinka
0 :  2
Alex Michelsen

May 18, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Alex Michelsen

May 7, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Sebastian Ofner
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen
Rafael Jodar Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 27, 2026 - ATP French Open

James Duckworth
1 :  3
Rafael Jodar

May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
0 :  3
Rafael Jodar

May 13, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Rafael Jodar
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Learner Tien

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar
Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Picks

Alex Michelsen - Rafael Jodar Key Points

  1. During the previous round, Alex Michelsen was involved in a four-set match.
  2. Rafael Jodar was also involved in a four-set match during the previous round.
  3. Alex Michelsen has not lost any of his last five clay-court matches in straight sets.
  4. In their last six matches combined, neither player has lost in straight sets.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Prediction

The way in which Alex Michelsen has won his two matches at Roland Garros so far, dropping just one set, suggests that he can put up a bit of a fight against Rafael Jodar. The Spaniard is a worthy favorite, but he dropped a set against James Duckworth last time out, so he's not exactly bomb proof, and he remains inexperienced when it comes to the five-set matches. 

On talent, Jodar can get this done, but don't expect him to have it all his own way, so much so that 'Over 3.5 Sets' is hard to resist at generous-looking odds of -125. 

Our Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Pick: Over 3.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

-125
$150 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.