Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Picks - ATP Washington Citi Open
ATP - ATP Washington Citi Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Brandon Nakashima eyes a second straight win over Alex De Minaur in the quarterfinal round of the 2026 Washington D.C Open.
A $100 bet on Nakashima to win yields a $235 payout.
Current Form:
After grinding out Stefanos Tsitsipas in the first round, Alex De Minaur would go on to demolish Cruz Hewitt 6-2, 6-3 to advance to the quarterfinals at Washington D.C. The No.1 seed showed his class, firing six aces, winning 75 percent of his first serves and breaking Hewitt five times. De Minaur is now 11-6 on the hard court in 2026.
Brandon Nakashima outgunned No.7 seed Jakub Mensik 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 to earn his spot in the last eight in Washington. Nakashima drilled 12 aces, won 79 percent of his first balls and captured a match-clinching breakpoint conversion in the final game of the third set. Nakashima also holds a 9-5 record in hard-court matches in 2026.
The Matchup: Brandon Nakashima is 2-1 vs. Alex De Minaur in their head-to-head series. His latest win over the Aussie came a few weeks ago at Queen’s Club. He defeated De Minaur 7-5, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the 2026 HSBC Championships.
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Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Form
Alex De Minaur and Brandon Nakashima Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 30, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 6, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 4, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 2, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 30, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 20, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
Jun 19, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
Alex De Minaur against Brandon Nakashima : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jun 19, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima Key Points
- Brandon Nakashima is 2-1 vs. Alex De Minaur
- Brandon Nakashima is 11-6 on the hard court in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 9-5 on the hard court in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 4-3 in quarterfinal matches.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction
The Difference Maker: Brandon Nakashima has only faced seven breakpoints and won 79.6 percent of his first serves in Washington.
De Minaur is one of the best returners on the ATP Tour, but the Aussie has had a lot of trouble breaking Nakashima’s serve in their last match at Queens.
The match taking place during the day session also favors a big server like Nakashima, who is averaging 10 aces in this tournament.
What to Expect: This match has all the makings of a three-set banger. De Minaur rolls into the quarterfinals with some form, while Nakashima is peaking up nicely after two matches in D.C. In the end, Nakashima will find a way to outlast the No.1 seed again by coming through with the clutch points down the stretch.
Fearless Forecast: Brandon Nakashima survives Alex De Minaur 6-4, 4-6, 7-6
Our betting prediction for Brandon Nakashima vs. Alex De Minaur: Brandon Nakashima will win.A Welcome Bonus for Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.