Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alex De Minaur Australia
Alex De Minaur ATP 10
10/9/26 02:20
Alex Molcan Slovakia
Alex Molcan ATP 80

Prediction:

 

Alex Molcan +3.5 Games

−105
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks

Alex Molcan will try to take advantage of a favorable situation as he takes on Alex De Minaur, who retired from the championship match against Novak Djokovic at the Beijing Open with a groin injury just a few days ago.

Current Form:

Alex De Minaur is fresh off a final appearance at the ATP 500 Beijing. De Minaur racked up four wins in a row – including victories over Andrei Rublev and Hubert Hurkacz – before bowing to Novak Djokovic 6-7, 0-1 ret. De Minaur retired right after winning the first game of the first set due to tightness in left groin area.

Alex Molcan advanced to the second round with a three-set win over Federico Cina 4-6, 6-1, 6-2. Molcan, who also reached the second round of the 2026 Beijing Open, is 5-4 on hard courts in 2026.

The Matchup: Molcan defeated De Minaur 7-6, 6-2 in their first meeting at ATP 250 Lyon in 2022.

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Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan Form

Alex De Minaur and Alex Molcan Latest Matches

Alex De Minaur Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Quentin Halys

Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

Sep 3, 2026 - ATP US Open

Botic Van De Zandschulp
3 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Andrea Guerrieri
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur

Aug 19, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur
Alex Molcan Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alex Molcan
2 :  1
Federico Cina

Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex Molcan
0 :  2
Karen Khachanov

Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  0
Tomas Machac

Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Marco Trungelliti
0 :  2
Alex Molcan

Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  1
Vit Kopriva

Sep 1, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alex Molcan
1 :  3
Benjamin Bonzi

Alex De Minaur against Alex Molcan : Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

0 %

Alex Molcan

100 %

May 20, 2022 - ATP Lyon Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Alex Molcan
Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan Picks

Alex De Minaur - Alex Molcan Key Points

  1. Alex Molcan is 7-3 in second-round matches in 2026.
  2. Alex Molcan is 5-4 in hard-court matches in 2026.
  3. Alex De Minaur reached the final of the 2026 Beijing Open.
  4. Alex De Minaur suffered a groin injury during the Beijing Open final.
Up to $200 to bet on Alex De Minaur - Alex Molcan! 

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Our Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan Prediction

The Difference Maker: It all boils down to the status of Alex De Minaur’s groin/hamstring injury. If he’s no longer being bothered by this injury, the Aussie should be a clear-cut favorite to win. If he’s not 100 percent, Molcan might have a solid shot at an upset.

What to Expect: De Minaur hacks out a close win over Molcan. De Minaur’s top-10 pedigree should be enough reason to believe he can grind out a win against the upset-minded Molcan. However, Molcan seems like a solid bet to cover +3.5 games, especially if he can break De Minaur multiple times. Against Cina, Molcan had seven break point conversions off the back of 44 return points.

Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur wins 7-6, 6-4

Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Alex Molcan: Alex Molcan +3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Alex Molcan +3.5 Games

−105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.