Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Picks - ATP Santiago Open
ATP - ATP Santiago Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
The 2026 Chile Open quarterfinals will wrap up with an explosive match-up between Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez on Friday.
Hot Pick: Sebastian Baez will win.
Potential Payout: $201 on a $101 Bet (-101 on DraftKings)
Current Form:
After coming up short of a title in Rio de Janeiro, Alejandro Tabilo finds himself two wins away from another final appearance in Santiago. The Chilean pulled off a come-from-behind win over Thiago Agustin Tirante 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 to roll into the quarterfinals. Tabilo has been a workhorse this season after an injury-riddled 2025 campaign. He has already played 21 matches this year, winning 15 of those for a 71.4 percent win rate.
Sebastian Baez will attempt to foil Tabilo’s title bid in Chile. The Argentinian already eliminated a Chilean, Cristian Garin, 7-6, 1-6, 7-5 in the second round. Baez is 11-4 on the season, winning 64 percent of his first serves and saving 70.6 of breakpoints in 2026.
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Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Form
Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
Feb 20, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
Feb 13, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
Feb 12, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
Alejandro Tabilo against Sebastian Baez : Head to Head (H2H)
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Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Mar 3, 2024 - ATP Santiago Open
Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Sebastian Baez is 11-4 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Sebastian Baez is 10-3 vs. the ATP top-100 players in 2026.
- Alejandro Tabilo is 6-4 vs. the ATP top-100 players in 2026.
- Alejandro Tabilo is 13-3 on clay in 2026.
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Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Sebastian Baez outlasts Alejandro Tabilo 6-4, 3-6, 7-6
We got a quality quarterfinals duel between Baez and Tabilo in Santiago, Chile. Both considered clay-court experts in their own right, these two players have played each other three times already, with Baez taking a 2-1 lead in the series. On Friday, Baez will maintain his edge over the Chilean, who will be playing his 10th match in a span of three weeks. We expect this match to be tight from start to finish, just like the previous three meetings, but Baez seems to be the most logical pick here because of his 10-3 record against the ATP top-100 this year. Again, it could go either way but we feel Baez is the more battle-tested player here.
Our betting prediction for Sebastian Baez vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Sebastian Baez will win.All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
