Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells

ATP - ATP Indian Wells

ATP 31 Chile
Alejandro Tabilo
3/5/26 19:50
ATP 23 Spain
Rafael Jodar

Prediction:

 

Alejandro Tabilo to Win

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Indian Wells Picks

This is a match between Chile and Spain, as Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar clash. The early market has the Spaniard as the narrow favorite, presumably because he's played hard-court tennis more recently than his opponent. However, Jodar is far from overly consistent, and he arrives here off the back of a defeat against a lesser player than Tabilo, so we probably shouldn't be too surprised if he struggles more than the early odds suggest. 

Tabilo also lost his most recent match, but that was against a very decent player in Sebastian Baez. This is an easier assigment, while his general form has been very good, with the world number 40 winning six of his las eight, as well as nine of his last 11. He also has a decent record at this event, never exiting at the first-round stage in four previous attempts. 

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Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Form

Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar Latest Matches

Alejandro Tabilo Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  1
Thiago Agustin Tirante

Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Alejandro Tabilo
1 :  2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Ignacio Buse

Feb 20, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Thiago Agustin Tirante
1 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo
Rafael Jodar Latest matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Terence Atmane
2 :  1
Rafael Jodar

Feb 23, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Feb 19, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Ethan Quinn
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

Feb 10, 2026 - Dallas Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Feb 8, 2026 - Dallas Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Murphy Cassone

Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar Key Points

  1. Alejandro Tabilo has won seven of his last eight matches against lower-ranked players.
  2. Alejandro Tabilo has won four of his last five hard-court matches against lower-ranked players.
  3. Alejandro Tabilo has won nine of his last 11 matches.
  4. Alejandro Tabilo never previously exited at the first-round stage in Indian Wells.
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Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Prediction

Presumably, the early market makes Alejandro Tabilo a slight underdog based on the fact that he's switching back from a recent stint on clay courts, which is where he's typically at his best, but let's face it, the Chilean is a capable player in general, while it's not as if he's switching to a rapid hard courts. The courts in Indian Wells play much like many clay courts, so Tabilo should not be discounted here. 

Moreover, he's up against a lower-ranked player, who has struggled for consistency in recent weeks. It's also worth mentioning that Tabilo has previously done OK at this event, never previously exiting at the first-round stage, so for my money, he looks a little generously priced to come out on top. 

Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Pick: Alejandro Tabilo to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Alejandro Tabilo to Win

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Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Picks