Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Picks - ASB Classic
ATP - ASB Classic
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
On Monday, during what will likely be the late afternoon for those situated stateside, there's an interesting all South American clash at the ASB Classic in Auckland, New Zealand. It's Chile vs Argentina as Alejandro Tabilo and Ugo Camilo Ugo Carabelli go head-to-head. The Argentine came out on top when the pair last met, while he's also the higher-ranked player, though it is Tabilo who typically performs better on a hard surface, which is key.
The Chilean player has previously enjoyed himself in New Zealand, claiming the ASB Classic title back in 2024. As a previous tutrnament winner, he'll be looking to go deep into the action this week. He can start his mission with a win against a player who finds it very difficult to be at his best on hard courts.
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Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Alejandro Tabilo and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 6, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 4, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 3, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Nov 4, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Nov 2, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jan 4, 2026 - Brisbane International
Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 21, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 25, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Alejandro Tabilo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has only won one of his last six hard-court matches.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli is yet to win a set of hard-court tennis in 2026.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has also lost nine of his last 11 hard-court matches.
- Alejandro Tabilo previously reached the final of this event, winning the title back in 2024.
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Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
If this was a clay-court match, it wouldn't be at all difficult to fancy the Argentine, but on a hard court, outside of South America? Forget about it. The Chilean is a much better hard-court player than Ugo Carabelli, who does not have a promising record on this surface. In contrast, Tabilo won two matches in Hong Kong last week, while he's previously played very well in Auckland, winning this event back in 2024.
To be quite honest, even at odds of -180, I'm more than happy to bet on Tabilo to get over the line. Frankly, as far as I'm concerned, he could be priced at -210 for this. In other words, odds of -180 offer value and are worth taking.
Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Pick: Alejandro Tabilo to Win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
