Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Indian Wells
WTA - WTA Indian Wells
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
It’s looking like Ajla Tomljanovic has the form and momentum to capture her 7th top-10 win over Jasmine Paolini in the third round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
Current Form:
Jasmine Paolini averted another disaster on Saturday after hacking a 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 win over Anastasia Potapova of Austria in the second round. Paolini is looking to establish some stability in her campaign after a rocky start that has her with a subpar 6-5 record and earlier-than-expected exits in Melbourne, Doha, Dubai, and Merida.
Ajla Tomljannovic has gone 4-1 in her last five matches. After a quarterfinal run in Merida, Tomljanovic is putting together another memorable run in Tennis Paradise, beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-5, 6-2 and Wang Xinyu 6-3, 6-1 to reach the round-of-32. Tomljanovic has compiled a respectable 7-4 record and posted 65.1% break points saved percentage and 49.4% break points converted percentage.
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Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Ajla Tomljanovic and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 6, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 4, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 27, 2026 - ATX Open
Feb 26, 2026 - ATX Open
Feb 24, 2026 - ATX Open
Jan 21, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 6, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 28, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
Feb 27, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
Feb 26, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
Feb 17, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 10, 2026 - WTA Doha
Ajla Tomljanovic against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)
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100 %
May 28, 2025 - WTA French Open
Ajla Tomljanovic - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Ajla Tomljanovic has a 6-36 record vs. the WTA top-10.
- Ajla Tomljanovic has converted 9 of 14 breakpoints at the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
- Jasmine Paolini is 3-5 vs. the WTA top-100 players in 2026.
- Jasmine Paolini is 0-3 in tiebreakers in 2026.
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Our Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Ajla Tomljanovic stuns Jasmine Paolini 6-4, 3-6, 7-6
Hot Pick: Ajla Tomljanovic is a +155 underdog in this third-round match with Jasmine Paolini.
Key Stats: Ajla Tomljanovic is 4-1 in her last five matches and owns six career top-10 wins. Jasmine Paolini has a losing record of 3-5 against WTA top-100 players.
What to Expect: This might not be a popular pick, but Ajla Tomljanovic looks in terrific shape to pull off a stunner over the struggling world’s No.7. Paolini’s losing record against the WTA top-100 players leaves her vulnerable to players armed with enough skill set and experience to push her hard. A
An aggressive baseliner, Tomljanovic’s play style has given Paolini all sorts of problems this year, as the Italian has struggled to handle the pace these strikers inject into their balls. Tomljanovic has saved 65 percent of breakpoints and converted almost 50 percent of BP chances.
Our betting prediction for Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Jasmine Paolini: Ajla Tomljanovic will win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.