Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Indian Wells

WTA - WTA Indian Wells

WTA 109 Australia
Ajla Tomljanovic
3/8/26 16:40
WTA 14 Italy
Jasmine Paolini

Prediction:

 

Ajla Tomljanovic will win

+155
$350 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

It’s looking like Ajla Tomljanovic has the form and momentum to capture her 7th top-10 win over Jasmine Paolini in the third round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open.

Current Form:

Jasmine Paolini averted another disaster on Saturday after hacking a 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 win over Anastasia Potapova of Austria in the second round. Paolini is looking to establish some stability in her campaign after a rocky start that has her with a subpar 6-5 record and earlier-than-expected exits in Melbourne, Doha, Dubai, and Merida.

Ajla Tomljannovic has gone 4-1 in her last five matches. After a quarterfinal run in Merida, Tomljanovic is putting together another memorable run in Tennis Paradise, beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-5, 6-2 and Wang Xinyu 6-3, 6-1 to reach the round-of-32. Tomljanovic has compiled a respectable 7-4 record and posted 65.1% break points saved percentage and 49.4% break points converted percentage.

Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini Form

Ajla Tomljanovic and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches

Ajla Tomljanovic Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 6, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Xinyu Wang
0 :  2
Ajla Tomljanovic

Mar 4, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Ajla Tomljanovic
2 :  0
Elena-Gabriela Ruse

Feb 27, 2026 - ATX Open

Kimberly Birrell
2 :  0
Ajla Tomljanovic

Feb 26, 2026 - ATX Open

Ajla Tomljanovic
2 :  1
Iva Jovic

Feb 24, 2026 - ATX Open

Venus Williams
0 :  2
Ajla Tomljanovic

Jan 21, 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
2 :  0
Ajla Tomljanovic
Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 6, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Anastasia Potapova
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Feb 28, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara

Jasmine Paolini
0 :  2
Cristina Bucsa

Feb 27, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  1
Katie Boulter

Feb 26, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Priscilla Hon

Feb 17, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Alexandra Eala
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Feb 10, 2026 - WTA Doha

Maria Sakkari
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Ajla Tomljanovic against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)

Ajla Tomljanovic

0 %

Jasmine Paolini

100 %

May 28, 2025 - WTA French Open

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Ajla Tomljanovic

Ajla Tomljanovic - Jasmine Paolini Key Points

  1. Ajla Tomljanovic has a 6-36 record vs. the WTA top-10.
  2. Ajla Tomljanovic has converted 9 of 14 breakpoints at the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
  3. Jasmine Paolini is 3-5 vs. the WTA top-100 players in 2026.
  4. Jasmine Paolini is 0-3 in tiebreakers in 2026.

Our Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Ajla Tomljanovic stuns Jasmine Paolini 6-4, 3-6, 7-6

Hot Pick: Ajla Tomljanovic is a +155 underdog in this third-round match with Jasmine Paolini.

Key Stats: Ajla Tomljanovic is 4-1 in her last five matches and owns six career top-10 wins. Jasmine Paolini has a losing record of 3-5 against WTA top-100 players.

What to Expect: This might not be a popular pick, but Ajla Tomljanovic looks in terrific shape to pull off a stunner over the struggling world’s No.7. Paolini’s losing record against the WTA top-100 players leaves her vulnerable to players armed with enough skill set and experience to push her hard. A

An aggressive baseliner, Tomljanovic’s play style has given Paolini all sorts of problems this year, as the Italian has struggled to handle the pace these strikers inject into their balls. Tomljanovic has saved 65 percent of breakpoints and converted almost 50 percent of BP chances.

Our betting prediction for Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Jasmine Paolini: Ajla Tomljanovic will win.

Prediction:

 

Ajla Tomljanovic will win

+155
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini Picks