Adrian Mannarino vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction & Picks - ATP Montpellier
ATP - ATP Montpellier
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
The suddenly streaking Adrian Mannarino of France will square off with No.1 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime for the 2026 ATP 250 Montpellier title on Sunday.
Recommended Pick: Adrian Mannarino +3.5 Games
Potential Payout: $220 for every $100 (+120).
Current Mannarino:
Mannarino has surged to a four-match winning streak in Montpellier following a 12-match win drought. For the third consecutive time, the ATP veteran climbed from a 0-1 set hole to defeat an opponent, eliminating Martin Damm Jr. 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinals. Mannarino, who faced and overcame the same scenario in his match with Ugo Humbert and Arthur Gea, has arranged a third career showdown with Felix Auger-Aliassime, the world’s No.8 and top-seed in this indoor event.
Auger-Aliassime shook off his first test in this competition by producing top-notch tennis in the third set of a 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 win over Titouan Doguet. After conceding the second set via tiebreaker, Auger-Aliassime unleashed an all-out offense on Doguet as he fired 10 aces and 82 percent of his first balls to hold all four service games. The Canadian also broke Doguet’s twice, putting the Frenchman away for good.
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Adrian Mannarino - Felix Auger-Aliassime Key Points
- Felix Auger-Aliassime is averaging 16 aces per match at the 2026 Montpellier.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime has only dropped one service game at the 2026 Montpellier.
- Adrian Mannarino has only dropped four service games at the 2026 Montpellier.
- Adrian Mannarino is 1-1 vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime head-to-head.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction
Adrian Mannarino is looking like a valuable pick to cover the spread with a +3.5-game (+120) advantage because of how fantastic the Frenchman is serving throughout this tournament and his experience of playing Auger-Aliassime.
There’s no question that Auger-Aliassime stands as the best talent out of the players who competed in Montpellier this week. However, Mannarino’s resurgence in this tournament is also worth mentioning. The veteran has only dropped four service games across four matches while winning a staggering 80 percent of the first balls.
also experienced some trouble dealing with Doguet, another Frenchman who posted a high win rate (79.6%) on the first balls this week, especially in that back-and-forth second set. Mannarino has played better tennis than Doguet this week. Armed with experience in high-stakes situations, Mannarino should provide a much stiffer challenge to Auger-Aliassime in what is shaping up to be an entertaining final.
Our betting prediction for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Adrian Mannarino: Adrian Mannarino +3.5 Games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
