Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Libema Open

Prediction published on 6/13/26, 5:25 AM  by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Adrian Mannarino has a real shot at an ATS win after receiving a +4.5 game cushion in his semifinal match against Alex De Minaur at the 2026 Libema Open.

Momentum: Adrian Mannarino reached the semifinal of the Libema Open after sweeping Zhang Zhizhen 7-6, 6-3. Mannarino, who has compiled a 111-70 record on grass, will be playing his second main tour semifinal appearance this year, four months after losing to Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final at Montpellier.

De Minaur also advanced to the semis with a 6-2, 6-4 win over Benjamin Bonzi. The Aussie has only faced 4 breakpoints and dropped 2 service games at 's-Hertogenbosch.

Matchup: De Minaur flexes a 5-1 head-to-head record against Mannarino. However, they have split their first two meetings on grass with Mannarino winning the first encounter 6-3, 6-3 at 's-Hertogenbosch in 2022 and De Minaur edging the Frenchman 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 at Queen’s Club in 2023.

Hot on the Board: Mannarino rolls into the semifinal as an attractive pick at the spread market, where he sits at -132 to cover +4.5 games. De Minaur, who has had troubles fending off the Frenchman in the past, must bring his A-game if he wants to earn his best win over Mannarino on grass.