Best Goal Scorer Bets for this Weekend's Premier League Fixtures
by Sam Cox | by Tyler Doty
Matchday six of the Premier League season kicks off with Brentford hosting Manchester United this Saturday. It's followed by one of the busier Saturday slates, with Erling Haaland, João Pedro, and Mohamed Salah among the players in action at 10 am ET.
Chris Wood, Richarlison, and several other goal-scoring candidates play in Saturday's later kick-offs, before Ollie Watkins, Nick Woltemade, and Viktor Gyökeres feature on Sunday.
It promises to be a riveting weekend – here are our favorite goal scorer EPL picks :
Erling Haaland To Score Two Or More Goals (+190)
The first of our five tips from the FanDuel Sportsbook is centered on Erling Haaland and a favorable matchup. Manchester City are hosting Burnley, with Haaland looking back to his unstoppable best.
Don't be fooled by Burnley conceding only eight goals in five matches. Their 10.3 expected goals conceded is the highest of any Premier League team, while City's 9.4 xG created is by far the highest of any Premier League outfit.
These are the kind of contests where Haaland fills his boots. It wouldn't be a surprise to see the Norwegian phenom score three or four at the Etihad on Saturday.
Estêvão To Score Anytime (+220)
Hooked after Robert Sanchez's red card last weekend and only given 31 minutes off the bench on Tuesday (in which time he took two shots), Estêvão is a lock to start for Chelsea against Brighton.
The Blues' frontline is suddenly facing uncertainty with Cole Palmer a doubt for this fixture. Estêvão could play as the number 10 behind João Pedro.
Playing in a more central role will inevitably make the former Palmeiras man a greater goal threat. His pace could cause problems against a Brighton defense which ranks in the bottom half in xG conceded.
Antoine Semenyo To Score Anytime (+250)
Antoine Semenyo might be the Premier League's form player in the non-Haaland category. Already with three goals and two assists to his name, only five EPL players have a higher total xG than Semenyo.
He's facing a Leeds team with only one clean sheet in its last four league outings. Bournemouth lost plenty of talent in the summer, but they look every bit as impressive as they did last year, with an expected goal difference that ranks among the league's elite.
Leeds' defense hasn't inspired confidence. Semenyo is having a legitimate breakout. We're riding with the hype and taking this wager at +250.
Richarlison To Score Two Or More (+550)
Wolves have been hopeless so far. Without a point and looking like serious relegation candidates, they are facing a much-improved Spurs team, led by a rejuvenated Richarlison.
The Brazilian scored a brace when he faced newly promoted Burnley earlier in the season. His underlying numbers are strong, including a career-high 2.6 shots per match.
These odds seem very generous from FanDuel given just how poor Wolves have been. They conceded three to Leeds last weekend and let in three against Everton. Tottenham can surely create enough chances for a Richarlison brace – this 15.4% implied probability is too low.
Beto To Score Anytime (+135)
West Ham have the worst defensive record in the league. Remarkably, Haaland is the only player with a higher xG total than Beto through the first five matchdays of the campaign.
Of the 15 players with more than 1.2 xG to their name so far, Bryan Mbeumo and Riccardo Calafiori are the only others with fewer than two goals. It's safe to say Beto is due to find the net again.
He might be a figure of mockery for some Premier League fans, and he's far from being the league's most clinical striker, but West Ham are going to leak chances, and Beto took four shots in the Toffees' last home fixture.
