Best Player Prop Bets For AFC & NFC Championship Games

by Sam Cox

image Best Player Prop Bets For AFC & NFC Championship Games
There might only be two games this weekend, but there's no shortage of high-value player props.

Here we are. Four teams remain in the NFL playoffs following a chaotic Divisional Round. One of those teams is missing its starting quarterback, one has a second-year quarterback at the helm, and two are NFC West foes.

This postseason has been unique in recent NFL history. There’s been no Patrick Mahomes, no Joe Burrow, and no Lamar Jackson. New faces are competing in the AFC and NFC Championship Games joined by the veteran presence of Matthew Stafford.

While so much is different, there are a lot of familiar trends. We are once again left unsure over how to define a catch. Overtime coin toss decisions are being analyzed relentlessly. The Bills are dealing with playoff heartbreak.

Stefon Diggs Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The Broncos are going to put Patrick Surtain II on Kayshon Boutte. Coming off explosive plays in each of the last two rounds, Boutte has been Drake Maye’s key target.

Maye is going to have to look elsewhere. Stefon Diggs has gone under this line in three consecutive games, but we know what he can do, even at this advanced stage of his career.

The veteran has had five games with 100 or more receiving yards this season. He’s been targeted at least seven times in seven games. Two Buffalo receivers went over this line last weekend.

Jarrett Stidham Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

There’s no way to have any sort of confidence in backing either side of Jarrett Stidham’s passing props. We feel more confident evaluating Stidham as a runner.

Bo Nix had a few designed run plays last week. He posted 42, 49, and 29 rushing yards over his final three games of the season. Stidham is mobile enough to be used in a similar manner, and quarterback runs are only going to help the Broncos maintain some offensive variety.

This could land in one scramble. It’s a line that feels far too low, plus Stidham had 34 rushing yards in his last NFL start.

Matthew Stafford Over 35.5 Pass Attempts (-113)

Matthew Stafford has cleared this line in six consecutive games. That includes a tally of 49 pass attempts when the Rams last faced the Seahawks.

Seattle has been the NFL’s best run defense by a sizeable margin. Christian McCaffrey was kept very quiet last weekend. Los Angeles is only a mediocre rushing team and will have to lean on Stafford marching his team down the field.

Even if the Rams take an early lead, they are going to have to keep throwing on this Seahawks defense. Running the ball simply won’t be effective – Stafford could easily have another game with 40+ pass attempts.

Cooper Kupp Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Cooper Kupp has had over 29.5 receiving yards in four of his last six games. He had 29 in one of the games he went under that line.

Los Angeles will sell out to stop Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who had 201 receiving yards across the two regular-season meetings. The Rams graded as the best team in pass coverage this season, and both of their corners ranked well, but there are gaps in this defense.

Look for Kupp to attack the middle of the field. He could prove a popular target for Darnold if Smith-Njigba is kept quieter than in the previous meetings.

Kenneth Walker III Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts (-128)

It’s all on Kenneth Walker III when it comes to Seattle’s rushing attack. Zach Charbonnet is out for the year. Despite returning to practice, it’s unlikely George Holani is going to get more than a couple of carries.

Only one team has rushed more frequently than the Seahawks this season. Walker and Charbonnet combined for 24 rushes last weekend.

In the regular-season games against the Rams, Walker and Charbonnet combined for 47 rushing attempts. There’s margin for error with this over, even if the Seahawks give a few carries to other backs.