Zambia vs Morocco Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Zambia
12/29/25 14:00
Morocco

Prediction:

 

Morocco Victory & Under 3.5 Goals

-167
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 by Tyler Doty in AFCON Picks

It's already time for the third and final day of Group A action at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. On Monday, Zambia will take on Morocco at the Prince Moulay Abdallah Stadium in Rabat. The Chipolopolos are still in contention to qualify for the round of 16. They have drawn both of their first two matches in the group stage. However, Moses Sichone's side will almost certainly need to win to have any hope of reaching the knockout stages. They will have to pull off a major upset against the host nation.

In front of their fans, Morocco are the big favorites in this tournament. After getting off to a perfect start against the Comoros (2-0), they were held to a draw by Mali (1-1), a result that frustrated their supporters. However, the Atlas Lions are still top of their group with four points. Walid Regragui's men are still in a good position to finish top of their group. To do so, they will be looking to secure another victory in this 2025 AFCON.

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Zambia vs Morocco Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Morocco
Morocco
7 3 2 1 0 5
4
Zambia
Zambia
2 3 0 2 1 -3

Zambia and Morocco Latest Matches

Zambia
Zambia Latest matches
W L L L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  0
Comoros

Dec 22, 2025 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Zambia

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

South Africa
3 :  1
Zambia

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  1
Niger

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Zambia
L L L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  0
Comoros

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  1
Niger

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  2
Morocco

Aug 17, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Zambia
0 :  1
Kenya

Aug 10, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Zambia
1 :  2
Angola

Jun 6, 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Zambia
0 :  1
Comoros
L L W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 22, 2025 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Zambia

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

South Africa
3 :  1
Zambia

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Zambia

Aug 14, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Morocco
3 :  1
Zambia

Aug 7, 2025 - African Nations Championship

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia
Morocco
Morocco Latest matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Mali

Dec 21, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
2 :  0
Comoros

Dec 18, 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
2 :  3
Morocco

Dec 15, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
3 :  0
United Arab Emirates

Dec 11, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
1 :  0
Syria

Dec 8, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
1 :  0
Saudi Arabia
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Mali

Dec 21, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
2 :  0
Comoros

Dec 15, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
3 :  0
United Arab Emirates

Dec 11, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
1 :  0
Syria

Dec 8, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
1 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Dec 2, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
3 :  1
Comoros
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 18, 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
2 :  3
Morocco

Dec 5, 2025 - Arab Cup

Oman
0 :  0
Morocco

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  2
Morocco

Aug 30, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
2 :  3
Morocco

Aug 22, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
0 :  1
Morocco

Aug 17, 2025 - African Nations Championship

DR Congo
1 :  3
Morocco

Zambia against Morocco : Head to Head (H2H)

Zambia

0 %

Draw

0 %

Morocco

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
60%
BTTS
0.6
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.2
Goals scored (Team 2)
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  2
Morocco

Aug 14, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Morocco
3 :  1
Zambia

Jun 7, 2024 - World Cup

Morocco
2 :  1
Zambia

Jan 24, 2024 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  1
Morocco

Jan 31, 2021 - African Nations Championship

Morocco
3 :  1
Zambia

Zambia - Morocco: Form Analysis

Zambia did not enter the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations with much confidence. They lost their previous four matches before entering the tournament. In their debut, the Chipolopolos managed to snatch a draw in the dying moments against Mali (1-1).

However, they failed to live up to their status the following day. Favorites against Comoros, Moses Sichone's team had to settle for a draw (1-1). They will need to pull off a major upset in their final group stage match.

Morocco wants to secure first place in Group A.

As the host country for the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, Morocco knows they've got a reputation to uphold. They got off to a good start in Group A by beating Comoros (2-0). Things got more complicated for the Atlas Lions after that.

They thought they were heading for another victory against Mali, but were eventually caught up shortly after the hour mark (1-1). The fans were not happy with the draw. However, Walid Regragui's men remain at the top of their group. They will have what it takes to secure their position with a win on Monday evening.

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Zambia against Morocco Lineups: Starting 11

Zambia

Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2

1
W. Mwanza
2
M. Banda
6
B. Sakala
21
D. Chanda
22
D. Hamansenya
14
K. Chongo
8
L. Musonda
5
M. Chaiwa
26
J. Liteta
20
P. Daka
17
K. Kangwa
17
A. Ezzalzouli
20
A. El Kaabi
10
B. Diaz
8
A. Ounahi
11
I. Saibari
24
N. El Aynaoui
3
N. Mazraoui
25
A. Masina
5
N. Aguerd
15
M. Chibi
1
Bono

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Morocco

Zambia & Morocco Squad Analysis

Zambia has a few offensive assets that could help them pull off an upset on Monday night. With one goal in Serie A with Lecce, Lameck Banda is hoping to get on the scoreboard in this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations with the Chipolopolos. He won't be the only player to watch, along with Patson Daka.

The Leicester City player scored Zambia's only goal in the tournament so far, netting the equalizer against Mali. He will be eagerly awaited once again in a decisive match in the race for the round of 16. He will have to be at his very best on Monday night.

Brahim Diaz shone in his debut in this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations.

As for Morocco, Romain Saïss is still out after his injury in the opening match. On the bright side, Achraf Hakimi could make his comeback during this match. Walid Regragui will have talent at his disposal in all areas of the pitch.

Between Yassine Bounou in goal, Nayef Aguerd in defense, and Neil El Aynaoui in midfield, he has plenty of options. On the offensive front, Brahim Diaz continues to perform well. He scored in the Atlas Lions' first two matches in this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Zambia
CD Huachipato Morocco
Top Goalscorer
Zambia P. Daka (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Morocco A. El Kaabi (3 Goals) Morocco B. Diaz (3 Goals)
Best assists
Zambia M. Banda (1 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco A. Ounahi (2 Assists)

Zambia - Morocco Key Points

  1. Morocco leads Group A with 4 points.
  2. Morocco is looking to bounce back after its draw against Mali (1-1).
  3. Under 3.5 goals were scored in Morocco's first 2 matches of the tournament.
  4. Zambia has drawn its first two matches in this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations.
  5. Under 3.5 goals weer scored in Zambia's first two matches of the tournament.
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Our Zambia vs Morocco Prediction

Morocco is looking to bounce back after its last draw against Mali (1-1). There is no cause for concern for the Atlas Lions, who are still leading Group A. They will be able to secure their position by beating Zambia. The Chipolopolos have their backs against the wall ahead of this final matchday. It's hard to imagine them pulling off a surprise in what is unlikely to be a high-scoring game.

Our prediction for Zambia vs. Morocco: Morocco to win & under 3.5 goals in the game!

Prediction:

 

Morocco Victory & Under 3.5 Goals

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Zambia vs Morocco - Other Interesting Picks

Zambia Under 0.5 Goals

Odds -210
Zambia failed to score against Comoros in their previous match in this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. The Chipolopolos are likely to face more difficulties in this match against Morocco.
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Morocco Lead at Half

Odds -160
After its last draw against Mali (1-1), Morocco will be looking to start strongly on this final day of the group stage. It would not be surprising to see it take the lead by halftime.
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Zambia vs Morocco Picks