Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2/7/26 09:30
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+145
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Bundesliga Picks

Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund go into their meeting on Saturday with very different season baselines, at least on the evidence of their recent results and table positioning. Dortmund have spent the campaign near the top end of the Bundesliga, and their form has generally reflected a team collecting points even when performances fluctuate. Their ability to avoid extended slumps has kept them in the title conversation range, rather than the chase pack. Even when matches have opened up, Dortmund have tended to find a way to get something from the game, including high-scoring draws that still protect their overall points pace.

Wolfsburg's results have been more uneven, with stretches where they can look solid and organized, followed by games where they struggle to convert pressure into goals or to survive long defensive spells. A recent league loss at Köln is a good example of that pattern: the margin was tight, but the outcome still left Wolfsburg short of points in a mid-table fight. They have also taken at least one heavy defeat on the road against elite opposition, underlining that the gap can widen quickly when the matchup turns against them. The overall picture is a side that can compete in many fixtures, but does not always sustain the same level from week to week.

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Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Borussia Dortmund
73 34 22 7 5 +36
16 Wolfsburg
29 34 7 8 19 -24

Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg Latest matches
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  1
Wolfsburg

Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  1
Heidenheim

Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  1
St. Pauli

Jan 11, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
Wolfsburg

Dec 20, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  4
Freiburg
L L W L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  1
Heidenheim

Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  1
St. Pauli

Dec 20, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  4
Freiburg

Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  1
Union Berlin

Nov 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 2, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Hoffenheim
L D W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  1
Wolfsburg

Jan 11, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
Wolfsburg

Dec 13, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
Wolfsburg

Nov 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  1
Wolfsburg

Nov 7, 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
2 :  1
Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Heidenheim

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
St. Pauli

Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Werder Bremen
D W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Heidenheim

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
St. Pauli

Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Werder Bremen

Dec 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Mönchengladbach

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt
D W D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Jan 9, 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
3 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Dec 14, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Wolfsburg against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

Wolfsburg

17 %

Draw

17 %

Borussia Dortmund

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Sep 21, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

May 3, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

Dec 22, 2024 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 29, 2024 - DFB Pokal

Wolfsburg
1 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 17, 2024 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 23, 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11

Wolfsburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
K. Grabara
2
K. Fischer
3
D. Vavro
4
K. Koulierakis
6
J. Belocian
24
C. Eriksen
27
M. Arnold
11
A. Daghim
7
K. Shiogai
40
K. Paredes
9
M. Amoura
9
S. Guirassy
10
J. Brandt
14
M. Beier
24
D. Svensson
8
F. Nmecha
7
J. Bellingham
26
J. Ryerson
4
N. Schlotterbeck
3
W. Anton
25
N. Sule
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

Substitutes

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Goalkeeper

M. Muller

Defender

J. Adjetey

J. Burger

K. Fischer 17'

Midfielder

P. Hensel

L. Majer

K. Shiogai 64'

J. Lindstrom

K. Paredes 65'

M. Svanberg

A. Daghim 83'

Y. Gerhardt

Forward

D. Pejcinovic

M. Amoura 83'

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Goalkeeper

A. Meyer

Defender

L. Reggiani

M. Beier 90'

R. Bensebaini

N. Sule 88'

Midfielder

C. Chukwuemeka

J. Brandt 88'

S. Ozcan

F. Nmecha 88'

Forward

F. Silva

J. Ryerson 69'

M. Albert

S. Inacio

Missing players

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Defender

Rogerio

J. Maehle

M. Jenz

J. Seelt

Cleiton

Midfielder

B. Dardai

Forward

J. Wind

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

F. Mane

Midfielder

M. Sabitzer

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wolfsburg
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Germany D. Pejcinovic (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Guinea S. Guirassy (17 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark C. Eriksen (8 Assists)
Best assists
Norway J. Ryerson (15 Assists)

Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. The Over is 4-0-1 in Dortmund's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 3-2 in Wolfsburg's last 5 games
  3. Dortmund are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Wolfsburg are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Dortmund's scoring profile has been led in the league by Serhou Guirassy, who has been their top Bundesliga scorer this season. That kind of dependable finishing is often the separator in games where chances are limited. Wolfsburg's attacking output has leaned heavily on Mohamed Amoura as their top league scorer. The availability angle has mattered too, as Wolfsburg have had at least one recent match where Amoura did not feature, which changed their attacking shape and threat.

A neutral read on the matchup is that Dortmund look stronger on sustained chance creation and overall points consistency across the season. Wolfsburg can absolutely make this awkward if they keep the scoreline tight, but Dortmund's season-long results suggest they are better equipped to turn one good spell into a winning margin. Our prediction for Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Picks