Canada vs Finland Prediction & Picks - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
International - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
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by Taavi Pailk | in Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament Picks
Team Canada will continue its quest for gold at the 2026 men’s ice hockey Olympic tournament on Friday against Finland in the semifinals at PalaItalia Santa Giulia in Milan.
Following a string of dominant performances at the tournament, Canada was almost shocked by Czechia in Wednesday’s quarterfinal matchup. Jon Cooper’s team needed a late Nick Suzuki goal to extend the game into overtime and won thanks to Mitch Marner’s strike 1:22 into the extra frame.
Team Canada has now scored a whopping 24 goals across four games in Milan, while conceding just six times. Cooper’s men are heavy favorites to progress again on Friday, but the Finns won’t give up on their Olympic dreams easily.
Finland looked to be in big trouble after losing its tournament opener 4-1 to Slovakia. However, Antti Pennanen’s side quickly regrouped and has enjoyed an impressive run of results ahead of the semifinals. Leijonat have won three games in a row with a combined score of 18-3.
An impressive comeback against Switzerland on Wednesday will boost the morale in the Finnish camp ahead of Friday’s game. Additionally, the defending champions may gain encouragement from the potential absence of Sidney Crosby, who suffered an apparent right leg injury in Canada’s quarterfinal victory.
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Canada vs Finland Form
Canada and Finland Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Feb 18, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 15, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 12, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
May 22, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
May 20, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 18, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 15, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
May 22, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
May 19, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
May 17, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
2/2 (100%)
0/2 (0%)
Feb 12, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
May 20, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 18, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 14, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Dec 14, 2025 - Rosno Cup
Dec 13, 2025 - Rosno Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 18, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 14, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Feb 13, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Dec 13, 2025 - Rosno Cup
Nov 9, 2025 - Rosno Cup
Nov 8, 2025 - Rosno Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Feb 11, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Dec 14, 2025 - Rosno Cup
Dec 11, 2025 - Rosno Cup
Nov 6, 2025 - Rosno Cup
May 22, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
May 19, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
Canada against Finland : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
May 19, 2025 - IIHF World Championship
Players list
J. Binnington
L. Thompson
D. Toews
C. Parayko
T. Sanheim
C. Makar
T. Harley
S. Theodore
D. Doughty
M. Celebrini
B. Hagel
C. McDavid
M. Marner
S. Reinhart
S. Jarvis
N. Suzuki
S. Bennett
M. Stone
B. Marchand
B. Horvat
N. MacKinnon
T. Wilson
J. Saros
J. Korpisalo
M. Heiskanen
N. Matinpalo
H. Jokiharju
E. Lindell
R. Ristolainen
N. Mikkola
O. Maatta
E. Luostarinen
O. Kapanen
A. Lundell
K. Kakko
J. Kiviranta
M. Rantanen
A. Lehkonen
T. Teravainen
J. Armia
M. Granlund
R. Hintz
S. Aho
E. Haula
Most goals and assists
Canada
Finland
M. Celebrini
(5 Goals)
S. Aho
(4 Goals)
C. McDavid
(11 Assists)
J. Armia
(5 Assists)
Canada - Finland Key Points
- Finland ended a three-game losing streak against Canada with a 2-1 shootout victory at the 2025 World Championships.
- Canada will take part in the semifinals at the Olympics for the eighth time overall and fifth time in six tournaments with NHL players.
- Finland has qualified for the semifinals at the Olympics for the seventh time overall and fifth time in six tournaments with NHL players.
- Canada has a 24-2 record at best-on-best tournaments with Sidney Crosby in the lineup.
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Our Canada vs Finland Prediction
Losing Crosby would be a blow for Canada, but the team is stacked with world-class talent and could still cruise past Team Finland. In the most recent best-on-best event, the 4 Nations Face-Off a year ago, Canada defeated Finland 5-3, with the Nordic nation only making the score respectable with three late goals.
While a low-scoring affair would suit Finland, Canada’s potent offense means Pennanen’s side needs to attack as well -- setting up a potentially high-octane matchup.
Our prediction for Canada vs. Finland: Over 5.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
