Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Washington Wizards and Memphis Grizzlies meet today at the FedExForum, and the matchup brings together two teams moving in very different directions. Washington continues to struggle through a difficult stretch, while Memphis has found ways to win consistently despite dealing with multiple injuries. On paper and by recent form, this game clearly favors the home side.
The Wizards have lost five of their last six games and are coming off an ugly 119-94 road loss to the Spurs on Thursday. That defeat was another example of how quickly games can unravel for Washington when defensive lapses pile up. The Wizards are allowing a league-worst 126.4 points per game, and that number tells the story of their season. Even when the offense is serviceable, the defense simply cannot hold up, especially against teams that move the ball well and push the pace.
That said, Washington has not been completely uncompetitive. There have been isolated performances that suggest some fight remains, including a surprising road win over Indiana earlier this week. In that game, the Wizards showed better focus and effort on both ends, but those performances have been the exception rather than the rule. Injuries continue to complicate matters as well, with Corey Kispert and Khris Middleton still sidelined and Malaki Branham listed as questionable. With limited depth and inconsistent execution, Washington has struggled to sustain any momentum.
Memphis enters this matchup in strong form, having won nine of its last 12 games overall. The Grizzlies are aiming for a third straight victory after a hard-fought 116-110 road win over the Timberwolves on Wednesday. That result was another example of Memphis finding ways to win close games, even without several key players available. Their ability to stay organized and disciplined has been a major factor in this recent surge.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
25
|
0.305 | 82 | 25 | 57 |
|
30
|
0.207 | 82 | 17 | 65 |
Memphis Grizzlies and Washington Wizards Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Dec 17, 2025 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Dec 12, 2025 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Dec 18, 2025 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Dec 12, 2025 - NBA
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Dec 18, 2025 - NBA
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Memphis Grizzlies against Washington Wizards : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Dec 8, 2024 - NBA
Nov 8, 2024 - NBA
Mar 12, 2024 - NBA
Oct 28, 2023 - NBA
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Jan 29, 2022 - NBA
Players list
C. Spencer
J. Wells
B. Clarke
J. Jackson Jr.
C. Carrington
C. McCollum
K. Middleton
K. George
A. Sarr
Substitutes
K. Caldwell-Pope
J. Konchar
O. Prosper
S. Aldama
T. Johnson
M. Branham
W. Riley
M. Bagley III
A. Gill
J. Champagnie
Memphis Grizzlies - Washington Wizards Key Points
- The Over is 1-7 in the Grizzlies’ last 8 games as home favorites after a road win
- The Over is 0-5 in the Wizards’ last 5 road games
- The Grizzlies are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games vs. the Wizards at FedExForum
- The Wizards are 0-13 in their last 13 games at FedExForum after a loss
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Our Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Prediction
Despite missing Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Javon Small, and Vince Williams Jr once again, the Grizzlies continue to play a balanced brand of basketball. They rank well in rebounding, assist rate, and overall defensive activity, and they are allowing just 115.2 points per game. That defensive efficiency is a massive contrast compared to Washington's struggles on that end of the floor. Memphis does not rely on one scorer or one matchup advantage, which makes them difficult to disrupt.
Given current form, roster situations, and defensive trends, it is no surprise to see Washington listed as a double-digit underdog. The Wizards are coming off a demoralizing loss and now face a disciplined Memphis team that plays well at home and controls tempo effectively. Even without Morant, the Grizzlies appear well-positioned to dictate the flow of this game from the opening tip.
Unless Washington delivers one of its rare complete performances, this matchup strongly favors Memphis. The Grizzlies should be able to build an early lead, limit second chances, and wear down a Wizards team that has struggled badly on the defensive end. A comfortable Memphis win and cover feels like the most likely outcome. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards: Under 232.5 points.
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