San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 6/24/24, 6:27 PM  by Carlos Zabala | Modified on 2/16/26 at 4:25 PM in MLB Picks

Nationals and Padres meet in a crucial duel for both, the fight of 9 teams for the National League wild card has both teams in the middle. Baseball insiders and betting sites had little hope for the Nationals this year, but this young team is just 1 game away from the Playoffs. If you had bet $100 on every Nationals game this season you would have $1,406 today. They have a solid 47.6% win rate in Underdog condition.

The Padres hit 261 collectively, the highest in MLB, but they struggle to win games at Petco Park with a record of 21-22. And if that were not enough, they play without Tatis and with Profar coming out of tendonitis. Corbin, who a few years ago had the ace label, is today far from being the best Nationals pitcher. He has an ERA of 5.60 and a record of 1-7, however he has good visiting numbers and a last 10 IP where he only allowed 2 ER and struck out 11. Waldron, likely for the Padres, has also been sharp having 5 quality outings in a row and he averages just 0.4 HR per game in his last 10 starts.