Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4/16/26 12:35
Washington Nationals

Prediction:

 

The Pirates -1.5 Runs

+135
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

Carrying a 6-3 against the spread in their first 9 home games this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates will go for the series win and an ATS win (-1.5 runs) against the Washington Nationals on Thursday.

Momentum: The Pittsburgh Pirates will try to win the series with the Washington Nationals after taking 2 out of the first 3 games of their series. The Pirates are 3-2 in their last five games and 11-7 on the season. Meanwhile, the Nationals have lost of 2 of their last three matches, including an embarrassing 5-16 loss to Pittsburgh in Game 1. The Nats are 8-10 on the season and 7-5 on the road.

Matchup: The Pirates will have an opportunity to win their first series with the Nationals if they can win on Thursday. Pittsburgh is 13-7 in its last 20 meetings with Washington.

Starters: Nationals LHP Foster Griffin (2-0, 1.76 ERA) will duke it out with Pirates RHP Braxton Ashcraft (1-1, 2.12 ERA).

Hot on Board: The Nationals are +130 road underdogs and -160 on the +1.5 run line. The Pirates are listed at -155 moneyline and a solid +135 at -1.5 runs. The total has been lowered to over/under 8.5 runs after bookmakers took it to 9.5 runs in the last two games.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Washington Nationals
0.5 84 42 42
16 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.494 83 41 42

Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Washington Nationals

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 13, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
16 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 10, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Washington Nationals

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 13, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
16 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 8, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  8
San Diego Padres

Apr 7, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  1
San Diego Padres

Apr 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  5
San Diego Padres
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 10, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 1, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 31, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 30, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Washington Nationals

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 13, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
16 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  8
Washington Nationals

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
1 :  3
Washington Nationals

Apr 10, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
Washington Nationals
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 8, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 7, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  7
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 6, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 5, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 4, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 3, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  13
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Washington Nationals

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 13, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
16 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
6 :  8
Washington Nationals

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
1 :  3
Washington Nationals

Apr 10, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
Washington Nationals

Pittsburgh Pirates against Washington Nationals : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

50 %

Washington Nationals

50 %

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  0
Washington Nationals

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Washington Nationals

Apr 13, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
16 :  5
Washington Nationals

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals Key Points

  1. Washington is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games against Pittsburgh.
  2. Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
  3. Pittsburgh is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.
  4. Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Fearless Forecast: The Pirates bag the series with a 3-1 win over the Nats

Sharp Play: Back the Pirates to take Game 4. Pittsburgh will be starting Braxton Ashcraft, who has given up two earned runs and struck out 17 over his last 11 innings. Ashcraft should keep the Nationals’ heavy hitters in check before the Pirates’ reliable bullpen (3.24 ERA) takes over and closes the door on the Nats. All eyes will also be on Brandon Love, who has recorded five RBIs and two home runs in 7 at-bats in the series.

As for the Nationals, Foster Griffin has posted a sturdy 1.76 ERA through his first three starts this season. I won’t be surprised if Griffin delivers another terrific outing on the mound. Unfortunately, the Nats’ bullpen (6.75 ERA) has underperformed this season, making them susceptible to late-inning barrages.

Our betting prediction for the Washington Nationals vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates: The Pirates -1.5 runs

Prediction:

 

The Pirates -1.5 Runs

+135
$250 offered for betting!

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Picks