Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Over 9.5 runs may not be that high of a total in Game 1 between the Washington Nationals and the Chicago White Sox, who are both averaging at least five runs per game in their last five games.
Momentum: The Washington Nationals enter a new series with a 1-3 record in their last four games. The Nats lost 2 of 3 games in their series against the Atlanta Braves, including the finale with a score 2-7.
The Chicago White Sox have won 3 of their last 4 games, capturing a series win over the Arizona Diamondbacks after taking Game 1 (11-5) and Game 3 (4-1).
Starting Pitchers: Nationals RHP Miles Mikolas (0-3, 9.15 ERA) vs. Bryan Hudson (0-0, 1.69 ERA).
Hot on the Board: The White Sox returned home as the favorite in this game. They are listed at -125 moneyline and +158 to cover -1.5 runs. The Nationals, who are 1-4 against the White Sox, are +105 moneyline and -190 on the +1.5-run line. Total has been pegged at 9.5 runs as this series features two of the worst-pitching, but at the same time, high-scoring squads.
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Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.531 | 81 | 43 | 38 |
|
13
|
0.5 | 84 | 42 | 42 |
Chicago White Sox and Washington Nationals Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
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0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 16, 2026 - MLB
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Chicago White Sox against Washington Nationals : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Sep 28, 2025 - MLB
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Chicago White Sox - Washington Nationals Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago White Sox's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago White Sox's last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The White Sox outslugs the Nats 8-6
Back the total to cover 9.5 runs. The total for this matchup is a little bit higher than in most games, but I am highly confident these two teams can push the combined score past 10 runs in Game 1.
Over their last five games, Washington averages 5.4 runs per game while Chicago produces 6.7 runs per contest. These two teams are among the worst on the mound. The Nats currently hold a 5.00 ERA and the White Sox owns a more ludicrous 5.32 ERA. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games and 5 of Chicago White Sox's last 6 games. Projected starters Bryan Hudson and PJ Poulin are solid starters, especially Poulin, who has only given up one earned run across three starts this season. However, they could only do as much, given that both teams’ bullpens are also a mess this season.
Our betting prediction for the Washington Nationals vs. the Chicago White Sox: The Over 9.5 Runs
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